KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiCalibrazione approssimativaProbabilità implicita attuale2 5%+1.0%In testa tra 10 esiti
Qualita del mercato
52 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
861,9 €
Liquidità
14,1K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
3.0% / 8.0%
Spread
166.7%
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 24 minuti fa
27 mag 26, 0:301 gen 27, 15:00
Trend
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
25%
Confronta le piattaforme· 5-6
Ordinato per qualità del mercato, poi liquidità e volume 24h| Piattaforma | Qualità | Probabilità | vs riferimento | Volume 24h | Liquidità | Aggiornamento | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiQuesta paginaMigliore in assoluto | Media | 51% | -16pt | 861,9 € | 14,1K € | 24 minuti fa | |
 Polymarket90% di corrispondenza · auto | Media | 67% | 0pt | 745,4 € | 16,1K € | 4 minuti fa | Apri → |
| Kalshi80% di corrispondenza · collegato | Bassa | 88% | +21pt | 0 € | 2,3K € | 24 minuti fa | Apri → |
 Limitless90% di corrispondenza · auto | Bassa | 67% | 0pt | 0 € | 0 € | 24 minuti fa | Apri → |
 Manifold Markets82% di corrispondenza · verificato | — | 89% | +22pt | — | — | 24 minuti fa | Apri → |
Disponibile anche su Polymarket
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
7.5%5m
+7.5%67%
-5.5%19%
-0.6%11%
+5 altri esiti
52 • Qualità mediaSpread ampioLiquidità mediaAlta ambiguità
Volume totale430,4K €
Volume 24h745,4 €
POLYMARKETDisponibile anche su Limitless
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
5m
66.5%
19.3%
11.8%
+5 altri esiti
28 • Bassa qualitàSpread sconosciutoBassa liquiditàMercato poco profondo
Volume totale21,6 €
Volume 24h0 €
LIMITLESSDisponibile anche su Manifold Markets
How many Starship launches will occur in 2026?
5m
-1.8%89.2%
-1.9%60.9%
+1.5%27%
+5 altri esiti
Previsione della comunità60 previsoriTipo: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSDisponibile anche su Kalshi
How many Starship launches will reach space in 2026?
5m
88%
71%
38%
+7 altri esiti
49 • Bassa qualitàSpread moderatoLiquidità media
Volume totale2,9K €
Volume 24h0 €
KALSHIRegole
If below 2 Starship launches reach Space in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- A Starship will be considered to have reached space if its maximum altitude is at least 62 miles above sea level at any point during its flight.
- Each launch is considered separate and will contribute to count separately, even if the same Starship is launched multiple times.
- (For example, if in period the same Starship is launched twice and reaches space twice, count will be 2).
- If exactly 2 Starship launches reach Space in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If exactly 3 Starship launches reach Space in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.
Trend del volume
$9802 lug25g di dati26 lug
Mercati Correlati
Will SpaceX outperform the Nasdaq Composite's total return in 2026?
95 €Sì: 28.1%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSBy which Flight of Starship will it reach orbit?
26,4 €4 (all flight #s are on or before): 0%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Elon Bull Run Parlay
0 €Sì: 3%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
AI data center in space by which date?
0 €2027: 25%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?
10,7K €Sì: 34%KALSHI
KALSHIAttivi in questi argomenti
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If below 2 Starship launches reach Space in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- A Starship will be considered to have reached space if its maximum altitude is at least 62 miles above sea level at any point during its flight.
- Each launch is considered separate and will contribute to count separately, even if the same Starship is launched multiple times.
- (For example, if in period the same Starship is launched twice and reaches space twice, count will be 2).
- If exactly 2 Starship launches reach Space in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If exactly 3 Starship launches reach Space in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.