KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
5 47.4%In testa tra 10 esitiCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
Qualità del mercato
≤49 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
21,5K €
Alta liquiditàSpread
1.0 pt
Spread strettoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 4 minuti fa
27 mag 26, 00:30 UTC1 gen 27, 15:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
How many Starship launches will reach space in 2026?
KalshiStortest gap between two SpaceX Starship launches in 2026
Manifold MarketsWill SpaceX's Starship have 40 successful launches before 2027?
Manifold MarketsSpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
PolymarketReal banana visible during SpaceX Starship Mars mission broadcast in 2026
Manifold MarketsSpaceX Starship manned flight to successfully land on the moon by the end of 2026?
FutuurRegole
If below 2 Starship launches reach Space in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:SpaceX
- A Starship will be considered to have reached space if its maximum altitude is at least 62 miles above sea level at any point during its flight.
- Each launch is considered separate and will contribute to count separately, even if the same Starship is launched multiple times.
- (For example, if in period the same Starship is launched twice and reaches space twice, count will be 2).
- If exactly 2 Starship launches reach Space in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If exactly 3 Starship launches reach Space in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
- Disponibile anche su Polymarket — How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026? · <5 51%
- Disponibile anche su Manifold Markets — How many Starship launches will occur in 2026? · 3 or more 98%
- Disponibile anche su Kalshi — How many Starship launches will reach space in 2026? · Above 3 85%
- Disponibile anche su Limitless — How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026? · 5-6 68%
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per How many SpaceX Starship launches will reach space in 2026??
- Kalshi quota 5 al 47% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve How many SpaceX Starship launches will reach space in 2026??
- How many SpaceX Starship launches will reach space in 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato How many SpaceX Starship launches will reach space in 2026??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If below 2 Starship launches reach Space in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Dove altro è quotato How many SpaceX Starship launches will reach space in 2026??
- La stessa domanda è quotata anche su Polymarket, Manifold Markets, Kalshi, Limitless.