Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale60 or more days 50.1%In testa tra 17 esiti
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19
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multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Variazione 7g
+27.1 pts
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Aggiornato 5 ore fa
Obsoleto16 feb 26, 05:24 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
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How many SpaceX Starship launches will reach space in 2026?
KalshiHow many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
PolymarketHow many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
LimitlessHow many Starship launches will occur in 2026?
Manifold MarketsHow many Starship launches will reach space in 2026?
KalshiWill SpaceX's Starship have 40 successful launches before 2027?
Manifold MarketsRegole
Shortest gap between any two launches - does NOT need to be same ship or booster.
- Short gaps in 2025 included January 16th to March 6th flights 7 and 8 with 49 day gap August 27th to October 14th flights 10 and 11 with 48 day gap
- If version 3 works well, manufacturing might speed up considerably and there might be reuse and even refuelling attempts but it isn't clear how fast pad 2 can be turned around if the ships and boosters are available.
- If it doesn't work well like version 2, then long delays are possible.