Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale3 or more 97.8%In testa tra 8 esiti
Previsori
65
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
-0.1 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 4 minuti fa
2 ago 25, 01:13 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
0%
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
How many Starship launches will occur in 2027?
Manifold MarketsHow many Starship launches will occur in 2028?
Manifold MarketsStortest gap between two SpaceX Starship launches in 2026
Manifold MarketsHow many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
LimitlessStarship launches humans to Mars before 2030?
KalshiHow many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?
KalshiRegole
Launch is defined as lifting off from the pad, even slightly, under the thrust of its own engines (the launch does not have to be successful)
- Must be a full stack launch, but any Starship variant counts
- Answers will resolve as they are fulfilled
- I may resolve answers NO early if I'm exceedingly certain they aren't attainable
- UTC is used for determining 2026 start/end
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
Mercati aperti
TechKALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 90° or above+65.0pt95.2%
- 88° to 89°-29.0pt1%
- 84° to 85°-6.0pt1%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 622,7K €
- Volume 24h
- 579,5K €
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- New Orleans+41.0pt99%
- Houston+62.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+4.0pt99%
+19 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 604,7K €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $75,000 or above99%
- $74,750 or above99%
- $75,250 or above98%
+77 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 411,6K €
- Volume 24h
- 411,6K €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+7.0pt33.3%
- 160-179+5.0pt28.6%
- 200-219-4.0pt15.2%
+23 altri esiti
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $73,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $72,500 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,000 or above99%
+47 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,2 Mln €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 40-64+25.0pt87.3%
- 65-89-10.0pt12.8%
- <40-24.4pt0%
+7 altri esiti
- When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Which company has the best AI model end of September?
- Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by which date?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- When will Apple Inc. release the iPhone 18 Pro?
- Foldable iPhone Announced Price?
- Next James Bond actor?
- Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 9, 2026?
- Highest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 8, 2026?
- Best AI at the end of 2026?
- Highest temperature in Phoenix on Sep 8, 2026?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per How many Starship launches will occur in 2026??
- Manifold Markets quota 3 or more al 98% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve How many Starship launches will occur in 2026??
- How many Starship launches will occur in 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato How many Starship launches will occur in 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Launch is defined as lifting off from the pad, even slightly, under the thrust of its own engines (the launch does not have to be successful)
- Dove altro è quotato How many Starship launches will occur in 2026??
- La stessa domanda è quotata anche su Polymarket, Limitless, Kalshi.