Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale5 or more 27%+1.9%In testa tra 8 esiti
Previsori
60
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 22 minuti fa
2 ago 25, 1:1331 dic 26, 23:59
Trend
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
5 or more27%
Confronta le piattaforme· 3 or more
Ordinato per qualità del mercato, poi liquidità e volume 24h| Piattaforma | Qualità | Probabilità | vs riferimento | Volume 24h | Liquidità | Aggiornamento | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiMigliore in assoluto82% di corrispondenza · verificato | Media | 51% | — | 861,8 € | 14,1K € | 22 minuti fa | Apri → |
 Polymarket82% di corrispondenza · verificato | Media | 66% | — | 745,3 € | 16,2K € | 2 minuti fa | Apri → |
| Kalshi80% di corrispondenza · verificato | Bassa | 88% | — | 0 € | 2,3K € | 22 minuti fa | Apri → |
 Limitless82% di corrispondenza · collegato | Bassa | 66% | — | 0 € | 0 € | 22 minuti fa | Apri → |
| Manifold MarketsQuesta pagina | — | 89% | — | — | — | 22 minuti fa |
Disponibile anche su Polymarket
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
7.0%5m
+7.0%66%
-5.5%19%
-0.8%11%
+5 altri esiti
52 • Qualità mediaSpread ampioLiquidità mediaAlta ambiguità
Volume totale430,3K €
Volume 24h745,3 €
POLYMARKETDisponibile anche su Kalshi
How many SpaceX Starship launches will reach space in 2026?
1.0%5m
51%
18%
+2.0%16%
+7 altri esiti
52 • Qualità mediaSpread ampioLiquidità mediaAlta ambiguità
Volume totale22,4K €
Volume 24h861,8 €
KALSHIDisponibile anche su Limitless
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
5m
65.5%
19.3%
11.9%
+5 altri esiti
28 • Bassa qualitàSpread sconosciutoBassa liquiditàMercato poco profondo
Volume totale21,6 €
Volume 24h0 €
LIMITLESSDisponibile anche su Kalshi
How many Starship launches will reach space in 2026?
5m
88%
71%
38%
+7 altri esiti
49 • Bassa qualitàSpread moderatoLiquidità media
Volume totale2,9K €
Volume 24h0 €
KALSHIRegole
Launch is defined as lifting off from the pad, even slightly, under the thrust of its own engines (the launch does not have to be successful)
- Must be a full stack launch, but any Starship variant counts
- Answers will resolve as they are fulfilled
- I may resolve answers NO early if I'm exceedingly certain they aren't attainable
- UTC is used for determining 2026 start/end
I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.
Trend del volume
$1.3k8 lug17g di dati26 lug
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Launch is defined as lifting off from the pad, even slightly, under the thrust of its own engines (the launch does not have to be successful)
- Must be a full stack launch, but any Starship variant counts
- Answers will resolve as they are fulfilled
- I may resolve answers NO early if I'm exceedingly certain they aren't attainable
- UTC is used for determining 2026 start/end