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Dati al 6 giu 2026, 22:04 UTC · criterio pm-quality-2
Previsione della comunità attualeBy Dec 31, 2025 74%In testa tra 6 esiti
Previsori
33
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 49 giorni fa
Obsoleto7 gen 25, 4:561 gen 32, 5:59
Trend
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
By Dec 31, 202574%
Mercati Correlati
Successful Starship splashdowns before orbital launch attempt?
435,8 €4: 0.7%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
9,2K €SpaceX: 86%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
When will Starship complete an orbit?
584,5 €February 2024: 0%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Anthropic have the largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
244,9 €No [Anthropic does not IPO in 2026]: 31.1%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?
0 €SpaceX: 97%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
AI data center in space by ?
0 €December 31, 2027: 15%FUTUUR
FUTUURAttivi in questi argomenti
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Each option will resolve yes if a reusable booster is launched by an entity other than SpaceX by the end of the date stated (Eastern time).
- In order to count as reusable, the booster needs to actually be successfully re-used! However only the initial launch of the booster needs to happen by the date stated, the re-use launch can happen up to 2 years later and will retroactively make the date of the initial launch count.
- Example: Rocket A and rocket B are both non-SpaceX rockets intended to be reusable, and no other relevant launches occur.
- Rocket A is launched successfully on Nov 20th 2026 but never reused.
- Rocket B is launched on Dec 20th 2027, then re-launched successfully on April 15th 2028.
- The options would resolve as follows: