Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
Before 2028-01-01 95.5%In testa tra 32 esiti
Before 2028-01-01 95.5%Previsori
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 14 ore fa
Obsoleto6 giu 24, 17:44 UTC1 gen 28, 07:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will SpaceX successfully land Starship on Mars before January 1st 2030?
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FutuurSpaceX Starship manned flight to successfully land on the moon by the end of 2026?
FutuurRegole
In June 2024 SpaceX demonstrated successful descent for both first and second stages of the Starship rocket.
- The potential next stage would be to try to land one or both stages.
- This market will resolve positively as soon as SpaceX manages to land the second stage of Starship rocket after an orbital or suborbital flight.
- The spacecraft has to be landed on land and in one piece.
- It should presumably be captured by the launch tower, but other ways of landing on land or on a barge would also qualify.
- The rocket can sustain some damage, but the payload has to stay intact.
