Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeBefore 2028-01-01 90.9%In testa tra 11 esiti
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30
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
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Aggiornato 5 ore fa
Obsoleto18 mar 25, 21:27 UTC1 gen 28, 06:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
When will SpaceX successfully land Starship for the first time?
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Manifold MarketsWill Starship successfully deploy its payload during Flight 15?
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Manifold MarketsSpaceX Starship manned flight to successfully land on the moon by the end of 2026?
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PolymarketRegole
Resolves YES for all time ranges before which there is a flight in which Starship and its booster both successfully land.
- Update 2025-03-18 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Update from creator
- Primary source: The result will resolve based on a consensus of news media reports.
- Secondary source: If there is no news media consensus, the resolution will follow SpaceX's statement.
- Fallback: In the absence of a clear statement from SpaceX, the resolution will be based on a personal assessment: whether both the booster and Starship appear to have landed and remain undamaged.
- Update 2025-03-18 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Landing Site Clarification:
