Avviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 25 ott 2026, 21:52 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attuale
Sì 79.7%
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9
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 4 ore fa
Obsoleto30 mar 23, 13:58 UTC31 dic 27, 15:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will a human land on Phobos or Deimos before a human lands on Mars?
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Manifold MarketsWhen will Starship successfully land for the first time?
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PolymarketRegole
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Martian_Moons_eXploration_(MMX)
- https://www.mmx.jaxa.jp/en/
- Successful landing will be defined as the spacecraft being able to send and receive information.
- https://manifold.markets/JoshuaWilkes/will-mmx-successfully-return-sample
