Previsione della comunità attuale
Sì 79.7%
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9
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binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 15 ore fa
Obsoleto30 mar 23, 13:58 UTC31 dic 27, 15:59 UTC
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
When will SpaceX successfully land Starship for the first time?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Starship successfully land for the first time?
Manifold MarketsWill Blue Origin's first Blue Moon HLS mission successfully land on the moon?
Manifold MarketsSpaceX Starship manned flight to successfully land on the moon by the end of 2026?
FutuurWill 2026 be the hottest year ever?
KalshiWhere will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
PolymarketRegole
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Martian_Moons_eXploration_(MMX)
- https://www.mmx.jaxa.jp/en/
- Successful landing will be defined as the spacecraft being able to send and receive information.
- https://manifold.markets/JoshuaWilkes/will-mmx-successfully-return-sample
Mercati aperti
SpacePOLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+1.0pt89%
- OpenAI-2.2pt9%
- Google2%
+18 altri esiti
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- 2,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 103,1K €
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No56.5%
- Yes43.5%
- Volume totale
- 57,4K €
- Volume 24h
- 57,4K €
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.5pt58.8%
- SpaceX-3.5pt39.2%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2.1%
+9 altri esiti
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028-2.0pt63%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt51%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
+8 altri esiti
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-6.0pt84%
- Above 9-21.0pt52%
- Above 10-4.0pt18%
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- Volume totale
POLYMARKETWill the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- 202767%
- June 30, 202753%
- 2026+1.3pt6%
- Volume totale
- 817,9K €
- Which company has the best AI model end of October?
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- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
- AI data center in space by which date?
- Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will MMX successfully land on Phobos??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 80% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will MMX successfully land on Phobos??
- Will MMX successfully land on Phobos? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will MMX successfully land on Phobos??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Martian_Moons_eXploration_(MMX)