KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Before 2030 42%In testa tra 4 esiti
Qualità del mercato
71 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
571,2 €
Liquidità
154,1K €
Alta liquiditàSpread
0.8 pt
Spread strettoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 8 minuti fa
5 dic 24, 21:00 UTC31 dic 27, 15:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Who lands on the Moon next?
Manifold MarketsHow many Starships will launch before a Starship lands on the Moon?
Manifold MarketsWill P vs NP be resolved after man lands on Mars?
Manifold MarketsWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
PolymarketSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
LimitlessWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketRegole
If an announcement indicates that a manned NASA mission landed on the Moon after Issuance and by December 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:NASA
- If an announcement indicates that a manned NASA mission landed on the Moon after Issuance and by December 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If an announcement indicates that a manned NASA mission landed on the Moon after Issuance and by December 31, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If an announcement indicates that a manned NASA mission landed on the Moon after Issuance and by December 31, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercati aperti
SpacePOLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+0.5pt89.9%
- OpenAI-1.6pt8.1%
- Google-0.1pt2%
+18 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 2,4 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 131,5K €
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No60.4%
- Yes39.6%
- Volume totale
- 103,6K €
- Volume 24h
- 27,9K €
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
- Anthropic-1.5pt72.5%
- OpenAI+2.0pt18.6%
- Google-1.4pt5.9%
+18 altri esiti
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-8.0pt82%
- Above 9-49.0pt22%
- Above 10-20.0pt14%
+8 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- December 31,47%
- June 30,41%
- February 28,27%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 996,1K €
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.3pt59.6%
- SpaceX+0.5pt38.4%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2%
+9 altri esiti
- AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- Pro Football Championship Halftime Show: Performers
- SpaceX Starship 14th launch?
- Two SpaceX Starships dock together by which date?
- What will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit in September 2026?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per NASA lands on the moon??
- Kalshi quota Before 2030 al 42% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve NASA lands on the moon??
- NASA lands on the moon? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2027.
- Come viene liquidato NASA lands on the moon??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If an announcement indicates that a manned NASA mission landed on the Moon after Issuance and by December 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.