Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale>= 35 80.2%In testa tra 3 esiti
Previsori
9
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 12 ore fa
Obsoleto30 giu 26, 14:24 UTC31 dic 29, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will humans set foot on the Moon again before an unmanned SpaceX Starship lands on Mars?
Manifold MarketsBy when will two Starships launch within 24h?
Manifold MarketsNASA lands on the moon?
KalshiWho lands on the Moon next?
Manifold MarketsTwo SpaceX Starships dock together by which date?
PolymarketWill two SpaceX Starships dock together before 2028?
KalshiRegole
By date of launches and landing, not the flight number that does the landing, so inclusive of refueling flights.
- Update 2026-08-15 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Launch counting starts from IFT-1 (integrated flight tests, excluding ship-only hops).
- The landing on the Moon does not need to be crewed; an uncrewed demo or cargo landing will qualify.
Mercati aperti
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,750 or above99%
- $76,500 or above99%
- $76,250 or above99%
+77 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 1,3 Mln €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
- $78,400 or above99%
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
+97 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,1 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 802,6K €
KALSHIBTC 15 min · $78,547.84 target
- Yes60%
- No40%
- Volume totale
- 736,5K €
- Volume 24h
- 585,6K €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+10.0pt31.4%
- 200-219+8.0pt22.9%
- 160-179-4.0pt19.1%
+23 altri esiti
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 88° to 89°+9.0pt37%
- 90° or above+11.0pt28%
- 86° to 87°-12.0pt25%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- Where will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- Elon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
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- Nasdaq-100 price on Sep 8, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Highest temperature in Miami on Sep 8, 2026?
- Which company has the best AI model end of September?
- Best AI at the end of 2026?
- ETH price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- ETH price on Sep 8, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
- When will Apple Inc. release the iPhone 18 Pro?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per How many Starships will launch before a Starship lands on the Moon??
- Manifold Markets quota >= 35 al 80% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve How many Starships will launch before a Starship lands on the Moon??
- How many Starships will launch before a Starship lands on the Moon? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2029.
- Come viene liquidato How many Starships will launch before a Starship lands on the Moon??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: By date of launches and landing, not the flight number that does the landing, so inclusive of refueling flights.