KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Before 2027 12%-5.0ptIn testa tra 6 esiti
Qualità del mercato
51 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
8,6 €
Liquidità
53,9K €
Alta liquiditàSpread
5.0 pt
Spread moderatoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 minuti fa
11 giu 26, 00:00 UTC1 gen 27, 15:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Blue Origin New Glenn launch in 2026?
PolymarketAnother Blue Origin rocket explodes by Oct 31?
PolymarketRocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?
PolymarketWill Starship reach Earth orbit before the Blue Origin Lunar Lander?
Manifold MarketsBlue Origin worth more than SpaceX by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill New Glenn (Blue Origin) reach Mars before Starship/Falcon (SpaceX)
Manifold MarketsRegole
If Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket has launched from the launch pad before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket has launched from the launch pad before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket has launched from the launch pad before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket has launched from the launch pad before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket has launched from the launch pad before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket has launched from the launch pad before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercati aperti
Space
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- Yes93.1%
- No6.9%
- Volume totale
- 190K €
- Volume 24h
- 190K €
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic-2.0pt88%
- OpenAI+0.5pt9%
- Google+0.8pt3%
+18 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 2,5 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 114,5K €
POLYMARKETAI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- 2027+23.5pt89%
- 2026+37.0pt62%
- September 30, 2026+29.0pt36%
POLYMARKETWhich Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
- Hodge Conjecture39.6%
- Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer28.3%
- No solution by Dec 31, 202717%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 27,7K €
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best Image Edit AI end of September?
- OpenAI85.7%
- Google7.6%
- Reve0.9%
+11 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 14,8K €
POLYMARKETWill the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- 2027+0.5pt54%
- June 30, 202742.7%
- 2026-1.4pt3.2%
- Volume totale
- Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
- How many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- SpaceX Starship 14th launch?
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Which company has the best Image-to-Video AI end of September?
- Which company has the best AI model end of October?
- Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of September?
- SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14
- Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by which date?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per When will Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket launch??
- Kalshi quota Before 2027 al 12% al 10 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve When will Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket launch??
- When will Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket launch? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato When will Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket launch??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket has launched from the launch pad before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.