PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
No 84%-1.5pt
Qualità del mercato
38 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
279,2 €
Bassa liquiditàBid / Ask
12.0% / 20.0%
Spread
8.0 pt
Spread ampioCommenti
4
Variazione 7g
+4.5 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 3 minuti fa
1 giu 26, 17:14 UTC1 gen 27, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Starship reach Earth orbit before the Blue Origin Lunar Lander?
Manifold MarketsBlue Origin worth more than SpaceX by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsAnother Blue Origin rocket explodes by Oct 31?
PolymarketWill New Glenn (Blue Origin) reach Mars before Starship/Falcon (SpaceX)
Manifold MarketsWill Blue Origin land on the moon before SpaceX?
KalshiWhen will Blue Origin launch New Shepard
KalshiRegole
If any Blue Origin New Glenn rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- New Glenn rocket refers to any Blue Origin rocket publicly identified by Blue Origin as New Glenn, including any newly manufactured, rebuilt, replacement, or reused New Glenn vehicle.
- The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by Blue Origin, as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
- Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., explosion or failed ascent) after the initial liftoff will have no bearing on the outcome.
- Any name change or rebranding of New Glenn will have no bearing on this market’s resolution.
Mercati aperti
SpacePOLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+1.0pt89%
- OpenAI-2.2pt9%
- Google2%
+18 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 2,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 103,1K €
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No56.5%
- Yes43.5%
- Volume totale
- 57,4K €
- Volume 24h
- 57,4K €
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.5pt58.8%
- SpaceX-3.5pt39.2%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2.1%
+9 altri esiti
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028-2.0pt63%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt51%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
+8 altri esiti
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-6.0pt84%
- Above 9-21.0pt52%
- Above 10-4.0pt18%
+8 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETWill the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- 202767%
- June 30, 202753%
- 2026+1.3pt6%
- Volume totale
- 817,9K €
- Which company has the best AI model end of October?
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
- AI data center in space by which date?
- Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Blue Origin New Glenn launch in 2026??
- Polymarket quota No al 84% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Blue Origin New Glenn launch in 2026??
- Blue Origin New Glenn launch in 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Blue Origin New Glenn launch in 2026??
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: If any Blue Origin New Glenn rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”.