KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Sì 58%
Qualità del mercato
65 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
30,1 €
Liquidità
29,6K €
Alta liquiditàBid / Ask
58.0% / 60.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Spread moderatoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 minuti fa
21 feb 25, 15:00 UTC1 gen 30, 15:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Starship land on the moon before Blue Origin does?
Manifold MarketsWho will land humans on the Moon first: SpaceX or Blue Origin?
Manifold MarketsWill Blue Origin's first Blue Moon HLS mission successfully land on the moon?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket launch?
KalshiBlue Origin New Glenn launch in 2026?
PolymarketAnother Blue Origin rocket explodes by Oct 31?
PolymarketRegole
If Blue Origin lands an uncrewed Blue Moon MK1 lander on the moon before SpaceX lands an uncrewed Starship as well as before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
Mercati aperti
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 10, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $74,750 or above99%
- $73,750 or above99%
- $74,500 or above99%
+77 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,1 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 1,1 Mln €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 160-179+19.0pt57%
- 180-199-5.5pt35%
- 200-219-6.8pt5%
+23 altri esiti
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $69,000 or above99%
- $69,500 or above98%
- $68,500 or above98%
+47 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 319,9K €
KALSHIWhen will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Before April 2027+7.0pt68.3%
- Before March 2027-3.0pt19.2%
- Before February 2027+2.0pt8.3%
+2 altri esiti
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 10, 2026?
- New York City+68.0pt99%
- Boston+46.0pt99%
- Oklahoma City+11.0pt99%
+19 altri esiti
- Volume totale
LIMITLESSAmazon (AMZN) Up or Down - Daily
- No50.6%
- Yes49.4%
- Volume totale
- 217,2K €
- Volume 24h
- 215,2K €
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Blue Origin land on the moon before SpaceX??
- Kalshi quota Yes al 58% al 10 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Blue Origin land on the moon before SpaceX??
- Will Blue Origin land on the moon before SpaceX? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2030.
- Come viene liquidato Will Blue Origin land on the moon before SpaceX??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If Blue Origin lands an uncrewed Blue Moon MK1 lander on the moon before SpaceX lands an uncrewed Starship as well as before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Dove altro è quotato Will Blue Origin land on the moon before SpaceX??
- La stessa domanda è quotata anche su Manifold Markets.