Will Blue Origin land an uncrewed Blue Moon MK1 lander on the moon before SpaceX lands an uncrewed Starship?
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Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
Sì 77.4%
Sì 77.4%Previsori
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Aggiornato 6 ore fa
Obsoleto12 feb 25, 23:33 UTC31 dic 29, 23:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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Background Blue Origin plans to land its Blue Moon MK1 cargo lander on the moon in 2025, with a timeline of 12-16 months from early 2024.
- The mission will use Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket.
- The Blue Moon MK1 is designed to deliver up to 3 metric tons of cargo.
- SpaceX is scheduled to conduct an uncrewed Starship demo landing on the moon in 2025 as part of NASA's timeline.
- SpaceX's mission is more complex, requiring multiple tanker refuelings in orbit for its Starship HLS.
- Resolution Criteria This market resolves YES if Blue Origin successfully lands an uncrewed Blue Moon MK1 lander on the lunar surface before SpaceX successfully lands an uncrewed Starship on the lunar surface.