KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiNessuna quotazione live
Dati al 9 set 2026, 00:57 UTC · criterio pm-quality-3
Probabilità implicita attuale
Before July, 2028 25%
Qualità del mercato
32 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
99,2 €
Bassa liquiditàBid / Ask
20.0% / 27.0%
Spread
7.0 pt
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 minuti fa
1 lug 26, 02:27 UTC1 lug 28, 03:59 UTC
Trend
0%
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Blue Origin land on the moon before SpaceX?
KalshiBlue Origin New Glenn launch in 2026?
PolymarketWill Blue Origin's first Blue Moon HLS mission successfully land on the moon?
Manifold MarketsWill Starship reach Earth orbit before the Blue Origin Lunar Lander?
Manifold MarketsWill the Department of Government Efficiency recommend cancelling Blue Origin's Human Landing System before 2029?
Manifold MarketsAnother Blue Origin rocket explodes by Oct 31?
PolymarketRegole
If Blue Origin launches New Shepard After issuance and before Jul 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Blue Origin launches New Shepard After issuance and before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercati aperti
SpacePOLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+1.0pt89%
- OpenAI-2.2pt9%
- Google2%
+18 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 2,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 103,1K €
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No56.5%
- Yes43.5%
- Volume totale
- 57,4K €
- Volume 24h
- 57,4K €
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.5pt58.8%
- SpaceX-3.5pt39.2%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2.1%
+9 altri esiti
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028-2.0pt63%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt51%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
+8 altri esiti
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-6.0pt84%
- Above 9-21.0pt52%
- Above 10-4.0pt18%
+8 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETWill the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- 202767%
- June 30, 202753%
- 2026+1.3pt6%
- Volume totale
- 817,9K €
- Which company has the best AI model end of October?
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
- AI data center in space by which date?
- Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per When will Blue Origin launch New Shepard?
- Kalshi quota Before July, 2028 al 25% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve When will Blue Origin launch New Shepard?
- When will Blue Origin launch New Shepard dovrebbe risolversi il 1 luglio 2028.
- Come viene liquidato When will Blue Origin launch New Shepard?
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If Blue Origin launches New Shepard After issuance and before Jul 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.