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Dati al 1 set 2026, 21:00 UTC · criterio pm-quality-3
Probabilità implicita attuale
No 98%-0.2pt
Qualità del mercato
≤49 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
3,2K €
Liquidità
39,9K €
Alta liquiditàBid / Ask
1.7% / 2.0%
Spread
0.3 pt
Spread strettoCommenti
8
Variazione 7g
+0.2 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 2 ore fa
Obsoleto30 apr 26, 18:281 gen 27, 4:59
Trend
Regole
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump is physically aboard any aircraft or spacecraft that reaches or crosses the U.S. space threshold by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- The U.S. space threshold is defined as 50 miles above mean sea level.
- Whether Donald Trump crosses the internationally recognized Karaman line will not impact this market’s resolution.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercati aperti
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.3pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.2pt11%
- Jon Ossoff11%
+49 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 601,2 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 743,1K €
KALSHIMassachusetts Democratic Senate nominee?
- Ed Markey+1.0pt99%
- Seth Moulton-1.3pt1%
- Ayanna Pressley0%
+1 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,9 Mln €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance+2.9pt52%
- Marco Rubio+1.3pt18%
- Ron DeSantis+0.1pt3%
+39 altri esiti
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+0.9pt61%
- October 31+2.0pt40%
- September 3020%
+17 altri esiti
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.1pt20%
- Jon Ossoff-0.1pt16%
- Gavin Newsom15%
+48 altri esiti
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No-1.0pt83.2%
- Yes+1.0pt16.8%
- Volume totale
- 55 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 283,1K €
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- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- NATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- Texas Senate winner?
- Michigan Senate winner?
- Trump out as President before 2027?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Trump goes to space in 2026??
- Polymarket quota No al 98% al 1 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Trump goes to space in 2026??
- Trump goes to space in 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Trump goes to space in 2026??
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump is physically aboard any aircraft or spacecraft that reaches or crosses the U.S. space threshold by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.