Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 66.6%
Previsori
14
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 45 minuti fa
In ritardo19 mag 26, 20:40 UTC19 mag 76, 20:38 UTC
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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PolymarketRegole
This market resolves Yes if Elon Musk personally flies aboard a spacecraft that reaches an altitude exceeding 2,000 km above Earth's surface (or achieves a trajectory that escapes Low Earth Orbit) at any point before his death.
- It resolves No only if he does fly to space (crossing the Kármán line at 100 km) during his lifetime but all of his spaceflights remain in Low Earth Orbit (maximum altitude below 2,000 km).
- The market will be voided (N/A) if Elon Musk never flies to space at all before his death.
