PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Meta 28.9%-15.5ptIn testa tra 21 esitiCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
Qualita del mercato
68 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
1,2K €
Liquidità
13,4K €
Liquidità mediaSpread
2.0 pt
Spread strettoComments
0
Variazione 7g
-1.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 9 minuti fa
13 ago 26, 21:1531 ott 26, 23:59
Trend
0%
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Regole
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
- Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
- Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
- AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time.
- If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view.
- If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard.
Mercati aperti
Tech
KALSHIBTC price on Aug 28, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $68,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $68,000 or above+3.0pt98%
- $70,000 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,5 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 372,1K €
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Aug 25, 2026?
- 85° to 86°+81.0pt95.2%
- 89° or above1%
- 83° to 84°-51.0pt1%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 342,1K €
KALSHIBitcoin price at the end of 2026
- 80,000 to 84,999.99-0.5pt10.8%
- 75,000 to 79,999.99-0.4pt10.8%
- 70,000 to 74,999.99-0.3pt8.8%
+25 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Aug 25, 2026?
- New Orleans+18.0pt99%
- Denver+13.0pt62%
- Oklahoma City+1.0pt13%
+17 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 199,7K €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets August 24 - August 26, 2026?
- 65-89+21.5pt63.4%
- 40-64-3.0pt26.7%
- 90-114-12.1pt8.9%
+7 altri esiti
KALSHIHighest temperature in Miami on Aug 25, 2026?
- 92° to 93°+42.0pt95.2%
- 90° to 91°-31.0pt1%
- 94° to 95°-11.0pt1%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- Elon Musk # tweets August 25 - September 1, 2026?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Which company does Ox Alpha belong to?
- NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down - Daily
- Highest temperature in New York City on Aug 25, 2026?
- Which company has best AI model end of August?
- How many launches will SpaceX have in August?
- Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by which date?
- Highest temperature in Chicago on Aug 25, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Oklahoma City on Aug 25, 2026?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per #3 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)?
- Polymarket quota Meta al 29% al 26 agosto 2026.
- Quando si risolve #3 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)?
- #3 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On) dovrebbe risolversi il 31 ottobre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato #3 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)?
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.