Will a major AI lab announce that the weights of one of its models were compromised in a cyberattack before 2027?
IAOne-OffTecnologia2m
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 82.7%
Previsori
44
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 1 ora fa
In ritardo30 set 23, 01:41 UTC1 gen 27, 07:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
When will a major AI lab announce that the weights of one of its models were compromised in a cyberattack?
Manifold MarketsWill Meta censor its future open weights models according to Chinese-developed techniques?
Manifold MarketsWill a major AI lab enter the aerospace industry by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Eliezer Yudkowsky work for any major AI-related entity by 2027?
Manifold MarketsUS Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?
Polymarket#3 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 19?
PolymarketRegole
Resolves YES if there is a disclosure by one of {Meta AI, OpenAI, Google DeepMind, Anthropic} that it suffered a cyberattack (which took place after market creation) and believes that the weights of at least one of its proprietary models were stolen.
- Update 2026-08-15 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market resolves YES if an AI exfiltrates its own weights, as this counts as a cyberattack.
