Will a major AI lab announce that the weights of one of its models were compromised in a cyberattack before 2027?
IAOne-OffTecnologia3mManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 74.7%
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Aggiornato 7 ore fa
Obsoleto30 set 23, 01:41 UTC1 gen 27, 07:59 UTC
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PolymarketRegole
Resolves YES if there is a disclosure by one of {Meta AI, OpenAI, Google DeepMind, Anthropic} that it suffered a cyberattack (which took place after market creation) and believes that the weights of at least one of its proprietary models were stolen.
- Update 2026-08-15 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market resolves YES if an AI exfiltrates its own weights, as this counts as a cyberattack.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will a major AI lab announce that the weights of one of its models were compromised in a cyberattack before 2027??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 75% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will a major AI lab announce that the weights of one of its models were compromised in a cyberattack before 2027??
- Will a major AI lab announce that the weights of one of its models were compromised in a cyberattack before 2027? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will a major AI lab announce that the weights of one of its models were compromised in a cyberattack before 2027??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolves YES if there is a disclosure by one of {Meta AI, OpenAI, Google DeepMind, Anthropic} that it suffered a cyberattack (which took place after market creation) and believes that the weights of at least one of its proprietary models were stolen.