PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale5-6 67%+7.5%In testa tra 8 esiti
Qualita del mercato
52 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
745,3 €
Liquidità
16,3K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
63.0% / 70.0%
Spread
11.1%
Spread ampioVariazione 7g
+10.0%
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 8 minuti fa
12 dic 25, 0:4531 dic 26, 0:00
Trend
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
5-667%
Confronta le piattaforme· 5-6
Ordinato per qualità del mercato, poi liquidità e volume 24h| Piattaforma | Qualità | Probabilità | vs riferimento | Volume 24h | Liquidità | Aggiornamento | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiMigliore in assoluto90% di corrispondenza · auto | Media | 51% | -15pt | 861,9 € | 14,1K € | 8 minuti fa | Apri → |
| PolymarketQuesta pagina | Media | 67% | +1pt | 745,3 € | 16,3K € | 8 minuti fa | |
| Kalshi80% di corrispondenza · collegato | Bassa | 88% | +22pt | 0 € | 2,3K € | 8 minuti fa | Apri → |
 Limitless94% di corrispondenza · auto | Bassa | 66% | +0pt | 0 € | 0 € | 28 minuti fa | Apri → |
 Manifold Markets82% di corrispondenza · verificato | — | 89% | +23pt | — | — | 28 minuti fa | Apri → |
Disponibile anche su Limitless
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
5m
66.3%
19.3%
11.8%
+5 altri esiti
28 • Bassa qualitàSpread sconosciutoBassa liquiditàMercato poco profondo
Volume totale21,6 €
Volume 24h0 €
LIMITLESSDisponibile anche su Kalshi
How many SpaceX Starship launches will reach space in 2026?
1.0%5m
51%
18%
+2.0%16%
+7 altri esiti
52 • Qualità mediaSpread ampioLiquidità mediaAlta ambiguità
Volume totale22,4K €
Volume 24h861,9 €
KALSHIDisponibile anche su Manifold Markets
How many Starship launches will occur in 2026?
5m
-1.8%89.2%
-1.9%60.9%
+1.5%27%
+5 altri esiti
Previsione della comunità60 previsoriTipo: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSDisponibile anche su Kalshi
How many Starship launches will reach space in 2026?
5m
88%
71%
38%
+7 altri esiti
49 • Bassa qualitàSpread moderatoLiquidità media
Volume totale2,9K €
Volume 24h0 €
KALSHIRegole
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX Starship launches successfully reaching an altitude of 62 miles above sea level between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A successful launch is defined as the Starship taking off from its launchpad and reaching a minimum altitude of 62 miles above sea level.
- Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be SpaceX’s official video feed of the launches (e.g., via SpaceX YouTube Channel), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary.
- However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.
Trend del volume
$8482 lug25g di dati26 lug
Mercati Correlati
Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?
10,7K €Sì: 34%KALSHI
KALSHIWill 2026 be the hottest year ever?
1,6K €Sì: 31%KALSHI
KALSHIWill SpaceX outperform the Nasdaq Composite's total return in 2026?
95 €Sì: 28.1%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSBy which Flight of Starship will it reach orbit?
26,4 €4 (all flight #s are on or before): 0%MANIFOLD MARKETS
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Elon Bull Run Parlay
0 €Sì: 4%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
AI data center in space by which date?
0 €2027: 25%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETAttivi in questi argomenti
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This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX Starship launches successfully reaching an altitude of 62 miles above sea level between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A successful launch is defined as the Starship taking off from its launchpad and reaching a minimum altitude of 62 miles above sea level.
- Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be SpaceX’s official video feed of the launches (e.g., via SpaceX YouTube Channel), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary.
- However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.