Probabilità implicita attuale
4,189.5 or 4,189.6 40.3%In testa tra 4 esitiCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
Qualità del mercato
24 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
215 €
Liquidità
353,1 €
Bassa liquiditàSpread
48.0 pt
Spread ampioCommenti
0
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 20 minuti fa
22 set 26, 19:15 UTC2 gen 27, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Polymarket
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Ordine minimo (quote):
- 5
- Incremento di prezzo:
- 1 punti percentuali
- Commissioni:
- Sì
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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Manifold MarketsWill the Great Salt Lake be below 4,188ft at the beginning of 2030
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KalshiWill the Great Pyramid of Giza Big Void be explored in 2026?
Manifold MarketsSeattle vs Salt Lake
KalshiRegole
This market will resolve according to the lowest daily mean lake elevation, in feet above the National Geodetic Vertical Datum of 1929, recorded at the Great Salt Lake at Saltair Boat Harbor, UT gage (USGS site 10010000) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, as published by the United States Geological Survey (USGS) for parameter code 62614.
- Exactly one outcome in this market will resolve to "Yes".
- The lowest daily reading in the year decides this market, including readings already recorded earlier in 2026; the level does not need to be sustained.
- If USGS does not publish a reading for one or more days, this market will resolve according to the lowest reading among the days that are published.
- USGS reports lake elevation at this gage to 1 decimal place, and values will be used exactly as published, without rounding.
- Should USGS publish a value carrying more decimal places, it will first be rounded half up to 1 decimal place, so that 4,189.45 ft becomes 4,189.5 ft.
Mercati aperti
WeatherKALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 23, 2026?
- 78° to 79°+29.0pt48.6%
- 80° to 81°+4.0pt39.5%
- 82° to 83°-18.0pt6.4%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 319,9K €
- Volume 24h
- 303,9K €
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 23, 2026?
- Philadelphia+83.0pt99%
- Miami+11.0pt99%
- Washington DC+10.0pt99%
+25 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 304,6K €
KALSHIHighest temperature in Miami on Sep 23, 2026?
- 82° to 83°+49.0pt52.4%
- 84° to 85°+21.0pt35.2%
- 86° to 87°-26.0pt9.5%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 23, 2026?
- 67° to 68°+25.0pt76.2%
- 65° to 66°-8.0pt19.1%
- 69° to 70°-7.0pt1.9%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIHighest temperature in Atlanta on Sep 23, 2026?
- 80° to 81°+23.0pt56.7%
- 82° to 83°+29.0pt38.1%
- 84° to 85°-1.0pt2.1%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIHighest temperature in Chicago on Sep 23, 2026?
- 65° to 66°+27.0pt62.9%
- 67° to 68°-11.0pt17.1%
- 63° to 64°-1.0pt16.2%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- Highest temperature in Beijing on September 24?
- What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year?
- Highest temperature in Dallas on September 24?
- Highest temperature in Los Angeles on September 24?
- Highest temperature in Seattle on Sep 24, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Austin on Sep 23, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Madrid on September 24?
- Highest temperature in Wellington on September 24?
- Highest temperature in Phoenix on Sep 23, 2026?
- Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii in 2026?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Lowest Great Salt Lake elevation in 2026??
- Polymarket quota 4,189.5 or 4,189.6 al 40.3% al 23 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Lowest Great Salt Lake elevation in 2026??
- Lowest Great Salt Lake elevation in 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 2 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Lowest Great Salt Lake elevation in 2026??
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve according to the lowest daily mean lake elevation, in feet above the National Geodetic Vertical Datum of 1929, recorded at the Great Salt Lake at Saltair Boat Harbor, UT gage (USGS site 10010000) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, as published by the United States Geological Survey (USGS) for parameter code 62614.