KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Before 2035 50.4%In testa tra 5 esitiCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
Qualità del mercato
43 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
546,4 €
Liquidità
28,6K €
Alta liquiditàSpread
7.7 pt
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 2 minuti fa
20 dic 25, 3:002 gen 27, 3:00
Trend
Regole
If the Clay Mathematics Institute officially announces the award of a Millennium Prize for any unsolved Millennium Prize Problem before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:the Clay Mathematics Institute
- The Clay Mathematics Institute must officially announce that a Millennium Prize has been awarded for the complete solution of the specified problem.
- The solution must be a positive proof as originally stated, not a counterexample or disproof (unless the market specifically includes counterexamples).
- Announcements of submitted solutions, peer-reviewed publications without CMI verification, or partial solutions do not qualify.
- If a mathematician solves a problem but declines the monetary prize, the market still resolves to Yes if CMI officially announces the prize award.
- The Poincaré Conjecture has already been solved by Grigori Perelman.
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per When will the next Millennium Prize be awarded??
- Kalshi quota Before 2035 al 50% al 4 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve When will the next Millennium Prize be awarded??
- When will the next Millennium Prize be awarded? dovrebbe risolversi il 2 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato When will the next Millennium Prize be awarded??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the Clay Mathematics Institute officially announces the award of a Millennium Prize for any unsolved Millennium Prize Problem before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
