KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiestoDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPunto medio del book selezionato
Before 2035 · —
Caricamento del book selezionato…
—
Prezzo registrato
Before 2035 83.2%In testa tra 5 esiti
Before 2035 83.2%Qualità del mercato
56 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
728,5 €
Open interest
147,5K USD
Open interest altoBid / Ask
— / —
Before 2035Spread
—
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 10 minuti fa
20 dic 25, 03:00 UTC1 gen 29, 15:00 UTC
Il grafico e le variazioni mostrano probabilità storiche salvate, non il book selezionato in tempo reale.
Trend
Riga selezionata: punto medio del book. Altre righe: riferimenti salvati, eventualmente normalizzati; le variazioni a 24h usano lo storico salvato.
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Chiusura anticipata:
- Sì
- Tempo di liquidazione:
- 30m (indicativo)
Profondità di mercato · Before 2035
Caricamento del book selezionato…
—
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will a Nobel Prize be awarded for work on superconductors before 2034?
Manifold MarketsNobel Prize awarded for Ozempic (or GLP-1 drugs) by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill a human walk on Mars before a Nobel Prize is awarded for a discovery relating to dark matter?
Manifold MarketsWill a Nobel prize be awarded for the invention of AGI before 2050?
Manifold MarketsHow many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
PolymarketWill OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution?
KalshiRegole
If the Clay Mathematics Institute officially announces the award of a Millennium Prize for any unsolved Millennium Prize Problem before Jan 1, 2035, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:the Clay Mathematics Institute
- The Clay Mathematics Institute must officially announce that a Millennium Prize has been awarded for the complete solution of the specified problem. The solution must be a positive proof as originally stated, not a counterexample or disproof (unless the market specifically includes counterexamples). Announcements of submitted solutions, peer-reviewed publications without CMI verification, or partial solutions do not qualify. If a mathematician solves a problem but declines the monetary prize, the market still resolves to Yes if CMI officially announces the prize award. The Poincaré Conjecture has already been solved by Grigori Perelman.
Regole per ogni esito
- Before 2035
- If the Clay Mathematics Institute officially announces the award of a Millennium Prize for any unsolved Millennium Prize Problem before Jan 1, 2035, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before 2030
- If the Clay Mathematics Institute officially announces the award of a Millennium Prize for any unsolved Millennium Prize Problem before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before 2029
- If the Clay Mathematics Institute officially announces the award of a Millennium Prize for any unsolved Millennium Prize Problem before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before 2028
- If the Clay Mathematics Institute officially announces the award of a Millennium Prize for any unsolved Millennium Prize Problem before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before 2027
- If the Clay Mathematics Institute officially announces the award of a Millennium Prize for any unsolved Millennium Prize Problem before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.