PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Rafael Grossi 50%En tête parmi 31 options
Qualite du marche
61 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
55,8 €
Liquidité
10,6 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
14.0% / 17.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Spread modéréVariation 7j
-2.5 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 minutes
21 avr. 26, 18:2131 déc. 26, 0:00
Tendances
0%
0%
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Rafael Grossi50%
Comparer les plateformes· Rafael Grossi
Classé par qualité du marché, puis liquidité et volume sur 24 h| Plateforme | Qualité | Probabilité | vs référence | Vol 24h | Liq | Fraîcheur | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketCette pageMeilleur global | Moyenne | 50% | -8pt | 55,8 € | 10,6 k € | il y a 4 minutes | |
 KalshiLa plus active85% de correspondance · vérifié | Faible | 58% | 0pt | 454,1 € | 31,2 k € | il y a 24 minutes | Ouvrir → |
| Polymarket65% de correspondance · lié | Faible | 39% | -19pt | 0 € | 4,2 k € | il y a 24 minutes | Ouvrir → |
Également disponible sur Kalshi
Who will be the next UN Secretary-General?
2.0 pts5mo
-1.0pt58.6%
19.2%
8.1%
+5 résultats de plus
49 • Faible qualitéSpread inconnuLiquidité élevéeAmbiguïté élevée
Volume total59,7 k €
Volume 24h454,1 €
KALSHIÉgalement disponible sur Polymarket
Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?
Fermés
-3.5pt33.6%
+0.6pt28.4%
-6.5pt20.7%
+44 résultats de plus
28 • Faible qualitéSpread inconnuLiquidité moyenneAmbiguïté élevée
Volume total70,2 k €
Volume 24h0 €
POLYMARKETRègles
A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026.
- This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.
- To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.
- A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution.
- Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market.
- If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
Tendance du volume
$632 juil.26j de données28 juil.
Marchés Associés
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by which date?
2,3 M €July 31: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
690 k €July 18: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by...? (2 week pause)
528,8 k €August 31: 70%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US-Iran nuclear deal?
17,6 k €Before Aug 1, 2026: 0%KALSHI
KALSHI
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
9 k €Barack Obama: 6%KALSHI
KALSHI
U.S. military or CIA kinetic action against Brazil before end of 2027?
7,9 k €Oui: 8.3%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSActifs dans ces sujets
Actualités Associées
Polymarket: US invasion of Iran odds jump to 23.5% after Jordan base claimBlockchain.News
Polymarket prices China–Japan clash at 7.5% after ICC dispute spotlights TokyoBlockchain.News
Polymarket lifts US-Iran invasion odds to 18.5% after blockade, strikesBlockchain.NewsPolymarket: Iran regime-fall odds dip to 9.5% despite escalation reportBlockchain.News
Polymarket: Hormuz traffic 'Yes' sinks to 1.15% after Trump strike threatBlockchain.News
US freezes $131M in Iran-linked crypto as Middle East tensions riseCointelegraphRègles
A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026.
- This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.
- To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.
- A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution.
- Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market.
- If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.