PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Rebeca Grynspan 39.8%En tête parmi 8 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualité du marché
≤49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
73,5 k €
Liquidité élevéeÉcart
0.4 pt
Spread serréCommentaires
2
Variation 7j
+0.3 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 minutes
21 avr. 26, 18:21 UTC31 déc. 26, 00:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the next Secretary-General of the United Nations be a woman?
Manifold MarketsRafael Mariano Grossi will be serving as Secretary-General of the United Nations on 1 January 2027.
Manifold MarketsWill the next secretary general of the United Nations be bald?
Manifold MarketsWho will be selected the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?
PredictItWhat will Trump say during the United Nations General Assembly?
KalshiWhat will Mark Carney say during the United Nations General Assembly?
KalshiRègles
A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026.
- This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.
- To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.
- A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution.
- Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market.
- If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
- Également disponible sur Kalshi — Who will be the next UN Secretary-General? · Rebeca Grynspan 33%
Marchés ouverts
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- December 31-8.0pt24%
- October 31-5.5pt17%
- September 30-4.5pt8%
+9 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 11,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 355,4 k €
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No84.2%
- Yes15.8%
- Volume total
- 56,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 292,3 k €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+2.6pt66%
- October 31+4.5pt41%
- September 30+5.0pt24%
+17 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)79%
- New People (NL)-0.1pt17%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)3%
+5 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETIran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- October 31+15.0pt63%
- September 30+19.0pt49%
- September 21+21.5pt42%
+6 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+7.0pt92%
- September 18+10.5pt91%
- September 4+11.0pt87%
+2 résultats de plus
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
- Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- China x Japan military clash before 2027?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
- Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Next Secretary-General of the United Nations ?
- Polymarket cote Rebeca Grynspan à 40% au 12 septembre 2026.
- Quand Next Secretary-General of the United Nations sera-t-il résolu ?
- Next Secretary-General of the United Nations doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Next Secretary-General of the United Nations est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026.
- Où Next Secretary-General of the United Nations est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur Kalshi.