PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
December 31, 7%-3.5ptEn tête parmi 5 options
Qualité du marché
65 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
946,8 €
Liquidité
18,7 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
1.1 pt
Spread serréCommentaires
47
Variation 7j
-1.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 minutes
24 nov. 25, 18:27 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
0%
0%
0%
0%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Hezbollah disarm by which date?
PolymarketHezbollah disarms by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsNext Secretary-General of the United Nations
PolymarketWho will be the next UN Secretary-General?
KalshiRafael Mariano Grossi will be serving as Secretary-General of the United Nations on 1 January 2027.
Manifold MarketsWhich Regional Group will the next UN Secretary-General come from?
Manifold MarketsRègles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Naim Qassem ceases to be Hezbollah’s secretary-general for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Naim Qassem will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Hezbollah’s secretary-general within this market's timeframe.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Hezbollah; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.