KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesGrossièrement calibréProbabilité implicite actuelleRafael Grossi 58.6%En tête parmi 8 options
Qualite du marche
49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
439,4 €
Liquidité
31,2 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
- / 7.0%
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 23 minutes
23 juil. 25, 14:005 janv. 27, 15:00
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Maria Fernanda Espinosa Garcés4%
Comparer les plateformes· Rafael Grossi
Classé par qualité du marché, puis liquidité et volume sur 24 h| Plateforme | Qualité | Probabilité | vs référence | Vol 24h | Liq | Fraîcheur | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMeilleur global85% de correspondance · vérifié | Moyenne | 50% | -8pt | 55,8 € | 8,4 k € | il y a 3 minutes | Ouvrir → |
| KalshiCette pageLa plus active | Faible | 58% | 0pt | 439,4 € | 31,2 k € | il y a 23 minutes | |
| Polymarket65% de correspondance · vérifié | Faible | 35% | -23pt | 0 € | 4,5 k € | il y a 23 minutes | Ouvrir → |
Également disponible sur Polymarket
Next Secretary-General of the United Nations
1.0 pts5mo
50%
-0.5pt24%
-1.0pt16%
+28 résultats de plus
60 • Qualité moyenneSpread modéréLiquidité moyenneAmbiguïté élevée
Volume total130,4 k €
Volume 24h55,8 €
POLYMARKETÉgalement disponible sur Polymarket
Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?
Fermés
-6.5pt31.8%
-0.1pt29.1%
-8.7pt20%
+44 résultats de plus
32 • Faible qualitéSpread inconnuLiquidité moyenneAmbiguïté élevée
Volume total70,2 k €
Volume 24h0 €
POLYMARKETRègles
If Mia Mottley is confirmed as Secretary-General for UN before Jan 5, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- An announcement alone is sufficient to resolve the market.
- If Rebeca Grynspan is confirmed as Secretary-General for UN before Jan 5, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Alicia Bárcena is confirmed as Secretary-General for UN before Jan 5, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Maria Fernanda Espinosa Garcés is confirmed as Secretary-General for UN before Jan 5, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Mohammed is confirmed as Secretary-General for UN before Jan 5, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
Tendance du volume
$5003 juil.26j de données28 juil.
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If Mia Mottley is confirmed as Secretary-General for UN before Jan 5, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- An announcement alone is sufficient to resolve the market.
- If Rebeca Grynspan is confirmed as Secretary-General for UN before Jan 5, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Alicia Bárcena is confirmed as Secretary-General for UN before Jan 5, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Maria Fernanda Espinosa Garcés is confirmed as Secretary-General for UN before Jan 5, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Mohammed is confirmed as Secretary-General for UN before Jan 5, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.