KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Rebeca Grynspan 33.3%En tête parmi 11 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualité du marché
34 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
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Liquidité
39,6 k €
Liquidité élevéeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 minutes
23 juil. 25, 14:00 UTC5 janv. 27, 15:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Which Regional Group will the next UN Secretary-General come from?
Manifold MarketsNaim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by which date?
PolymarketRafael Mariano Grossi will be serving as Secretary-General of the United Nations on 1 January 2027.
Manifold MarketsWill Karina Milei leave the office of Argentina’s Secretary General of the Presidency in 2026?
FutuurWill the next Secretary-General of the United Nations be a woman?
Manifold MarketsWho will be the next Secretary General of NATO?
KalshiRègles
If the named outcome is confirmed as Secretary-General for UN before Jan 5, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:The UN
- An announcement alone is sufficient to resolve the market.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
- Également disponible sur Polymarket — Next Secretary-General of the United Nations · Rebeca Grynspan 40%
Marchés ouverts
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- December 31-8.0pt24%
- October 31-5.5pt17%
- September 30-4.5pt8%
+9 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 11,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 355,4 k €
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No84.2%
- Yes15.8%
- Volume total
- 56,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 292,3 k €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+2.6pt66%
- October 31+4.5pt41%
- September 30+5.0pt24%
+17 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)79%
- New People (NL)-0.1pt17%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)3%
+5 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETIran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- October 31+15.0pt63%
- September 30+19.0pt49%
- September 21+21.5pt42%
+6 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+7.0pt92%
- September 18+10.5pt91%
- September 4+11.0pt87%
+2 résultats de plus
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
- Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- China x Japan military clash before 2027?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
- Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Who will be the next UN Secretary-General? ?
- Kalshi cote Rebeca Grynspan à 33% au 12 septembre 2026.
- Quand Who will be the next UN Secretary-General? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Who will be the next UN Secretary-General? doit être résolu le 5 janvier 2027.
- Comment Who will be the next UN Secretary-General? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the named outcome is confirmed as Secretary-General for UN before Jan 5, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Où Who will be the next UN Secretary-General? est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur Polymarket.