Rafael Mariano Grossi will be serving as Secretary-General of the United Nations on 1 January 2027.
One-OffGéopolitique2moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 82%
Prévisionnistes
10
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 45 minutes
En retard26 mars 26, 08:48 UTC1 janv. 27, 00:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the next Secretary-General of the United Nations be a woman?
Manifold MarketsWill "Was Barack Obama still serving as president i..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
Manifold MarketsNext Secretary-General of the United Nations
PolymarketWill the next secretary general of the United Nations be a woman?
Manifold MarketsWill the next secretary general of the United Nations be bald?
Manifold MarketsWho will be selected the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?
PredictItRègles
The selection of the next UN Secretary-General will be determined through the established UN Security Council straw poll process, followed by General Assembly appointment in late 2026.
- This market resolves “Yes” if Grossi is serving as UN Secretary-General on 1 January 2027.