Rafael Mariano Grossi will be serving as Secretary-General of the United Nations on 1 January 2027.
One-OffGéopolitique3moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 83.2%
Prévisionnistes
7
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 heures
Obsolète26 mars 26, 08:48 UTC1 janv. 27, 00:00 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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KalshiRègles
The selection of the next UN Secretary-General will be determined through the established UN Security Council straw poll process, followed by General Assembly appointment in late 2026.
- This market resolves “Yes” if Grossi is serving as UN Secretary-General on 1 January 2027.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Rafael Mariano Grossi will be serving as Secretary-General of the United Nations on 1 January 2027. ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 83% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Rafael Mariano Grossi will be serving as Secretary-General of the United Nations on 1 January 2027. sera-t-il résolu ?
- Rafael Mariano Grossi will be serving as Secretary-General of the United Nations on 1 January 2027. doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Rafael Mariano Grossi will be serving as Secretary-General of the United Nations on 1 January 2027. est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : The selection of the next UN Secretary-General will be determined through the established UN Security Council straw poll process, followed by General Assembly appointment in late 2026.