Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 62.7%
Prévisionnistes
15
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 14 minutes
4 avr. 24, 03:29 UTC2 janv. 27, 15:59 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Rafael Mariano Grossi will be serving as Secretary-General of the United Nations on 1 January 2027.
Manifold MarketsWill the next secretary general of the United Nations be a woman?
Manifold MarketsWho will be selected the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?
PredictItWill the next secretary general of the United Nations speak German?
Manifold MarketsNext Secretary-General of the United Nations
PolymarketWill the next secretary general of the United Nations be bald?
Manifold MarketsRègles
There has never been a woman Secretary-General
- Guterres is very unlikely to seek a third term, so I will set this to resolve in 2027, but if he does then it should be extended
