PredictItVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution non vérifiéesRetail prediction exchange
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Gianni Infantino 2%En tête parmi 5 options
Gianni Infantino 2%Méthodologie
Retail prediction exchange
Type de question
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Volume 24h
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Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 minute
28 juil. 26, 15:24 UTC1 juil. 27, 04:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Which country will the next Secretary General of the United Nations be from, following Antonio Guterres?
Manifold MarketsRafael Mariano Grossi will be serving as Secretary-General of the United Nations on 1 January 2027.
Manifold MarketsWill the next secretary general of the United Nations be a woman?
Manifold MarketsWill the next secretary general of the United Nations be bald?
Manifold MarketsWho will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?
PolymarketWho will be the next UN Secretary-General?
KalshiRègles
The contract that resolves to Yes shall identify the individual selected and appointed by the United Nations General Assembly to the office of Secretary-General for a five-year term beginning January 1, 2027.
PredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.
PredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
- Également disponible sur Polymarket — Next Secretary-General of the United Nations · Lana Nusseibeh 30%
- Également disponible sur Manifold Markets — Who will be the next UN General secretary? · Rafael Grossi [Argentinian diplomat - director general of the International Atomic Energy Agency] 19%
- Également disponible sur Kalshi — Who will be the next UN Secretary-General? · Lana Nusseibeh 68%