Prévision communautaire actuelle
Aalo Atomics Inc. 100%En tête parmi 11 options
Prévisionnistes
3
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 heures
Obsolète13 août 25, 22:43 UTC7 janv. 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
100%
100%
100%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
US grants license for new nuclear reactor before 2027?
KalshiWill we get fusion reactors before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill we reverse-engineer a language model into an interpretable (python) program by 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill we get fusion reactors before 2030?
Manifold MarketsHow many people will Neuralink have implanted in 2026?
KalshiWhich country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
KalshiRègles
The Reactor Pilot Program aims to streamline the development process for new fission reactor designs.
- Which of the listed projects will achieve criticality by the end of 2026? The target date for the program is 2026-07-04; this question is intended to address schedule slips.
- For the target date question, see: @/EvanDaniel/which-doe-reactor-pilot-program-rea and @/EvanDaniel/how-many-of-the-doe-reactor-pilot-p
- Oklo, Inc submitted two projects.
- If either achieves criticality, the "one or both projects" option will resolve Yes.
- If they both do, the "both projects" option will also resolve Yes.
Marchés ouverts
ScienceKALSHIWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
- Before 2035+11.2pt86%
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+2 résultats de plus
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KALSHIWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
- Before Jan 20, 2029-1.0pt20%
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- December 31+0.1pt4%
- September 30-0.1pt1%
- April 300%
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KALSHIWhen will the Riemann hypothesis be solved?
- Before 2035+11.0pt56%
- Before 203248%
- Before 2030-19.0pt44%
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KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No96%
- Yes+0.6pt4%
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KALSHIHow many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?
- Above 0+3.0pt46.1%
- Above 1+20.0pt38.5%
- Above 2-6.0pt7.7%
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- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
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- Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
- When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
- Major volcano eruption in 2026?
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
- Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Which DoE Reactor Pilot Program reactors will achieve criticality by 2026-12-31? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Aalo Atomics Inc. à 100% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Which DoE Reactor Pilot Program reactors will achieve criticality by 2026-12-31? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Which DoE Reactor Pilot Program reactors will achieve criticality by 2026-12-31? doit être résolu le 7 janvier 2027.
- Comment Which DoE Reactor Pilot Program reactors will achieve criticality by 2026-12-31? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : The Reactor Pilot Program aims to streamline the development process for new fission reactor designs.