Données au 26 oct. 2026, 06:50 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will an accident involving miniaturized fusion reactors wipe out humanity before the year 2030?
Will we get fusion reactors before 2041?
Will we get fusion reactors before 2031?
Will we get AGI before we get fusion reactors?
Will we get AGI before 2028?
Did COVID-19 come from a laboratory?
Règles
Resolves as YES if we have built a fusion reactor that has run continuously for at least 24 hours prior to January 1st 2030 at engineering breakeven (Q_E >= 1).
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