Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 76.6%
Prévisionnistes
75
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 33 minutes
17 janv. 24, 10:00 UTC1 mars 31, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
How much energy will Helion Energy's fusion reactors produce in 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill we get fusion reactors before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill we get fusion reactors before 2041?
Manifold MarketsWill we get AGI before we get fusion reactors?
Manifold MarketsWill the Fertility Crisis be solved by Fertility Technology ( Artificial Wombs, Embryo Selection, Robot Nannies etc.)
Manifold MarketsWill some scientist genetically engineer a virus that is virulent to anyone who isn't Han Chinese by 2038?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolves as YES if we have built a fusion reactor that has run continuously for at least 24 hours prior to January 1st 2031 at engineering breakeven (Q_E >= 1).
- Questions with the same criteria:
- @/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-d18e9fd38cd1
- @/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-a380452919f1
- @/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-93a1ac777df5
- @/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-f5a1947c172a
