Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 71.4%
Prévisionnistes
29
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 56 minutes
En retard1 mars 24, 11:45 UTC1 mars 41, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will we get fusion reactors before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill we get fusion reactors before 2031?
Manifold MarketsWill we get AGI before we get fusion reactors?
Manifold MarketsWill we get fusion reactors before 2036?
Manifold MarketsWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
KalshiWill WHO classify the current hantavirus outbreak as a Public Health Emergency of International Concern by end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolves as YES if we have built a fusion reactor that has run continuously for at least 24 hours prior to January 1st 2041 at engineering breakeven (Q_E >= 1).
- Questions with the same criteria:
- @/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-d18e9fd38cd1
- @/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-a380452919f1
- @/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-93a1ac777df5
- @/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-f5a1947c172a
