PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 86.1%+7.5pt
Non 86.1%+7.5ptQualité du marché
72 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
6,5 k €
Liquidité
4,1 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
13.0% / 14.0%
Écart
1.0 pt
Spread serréCommentaires
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 24 minutes
6 oct. 26, 15:57 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Polymarket
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Ordre minimum (parts):
- 5
- Pas de cotation:
- 1 points de pourcentage
- Frais:
- Oui
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Another pneumonic plague case in Russia by which date?
PolymarketWill a pneumonic plague case be reported in the U.S. this year?
KalshiPlague pandemic in 2026?
PolymarketRussia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?
PolymarketUS plague travel ban on Russia in 2026?
PolymarketWill the Irkutsk Anti-Plague institute incident turn into an outbreak?
Manifold MarketsRègles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a confirmed case of pneumonic plague in a human is reported in the United States at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A "confirmed case" is a case explicitly identified by a qualifying source as laboratory-confirmed Yersinia pestis infection with pneumonic (pulmonary) involvement, or explicitly announced as a confirmed pneumonic plague case.
- Publication of the underlying laboratory results is not required.
- A bubonic or septicemic case that progresses to pneumonic plague qualifies.
- A case reported only as "plague" with no form specified, and a case described only as suspected or probable, do not qualify.