Will Prediction Markets be banned in the US before 31 December, 2026?
One-OffRégulationPolitiqueUS Politics3moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 95.5%
Prévisionnistes
20
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 heures
Obsolète15 févr. 26, 11:44 UTC30 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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PolymarketRègles
Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves YES if prediction markets are banned in the United States before 31 December 2026.
- A ban is defined as a federal prohibition that prevents the operation of prediction market platforms or makes it illegal for U.S. residents to trade on prediction markets.
- State-level bans or restrictions do not trigger a YES resolution.
- The market resolves NO if prediction markets continue to operate legally under federal CFTC oversight through 31 December 2026.
- Resolution will be determined by official announcements from the CFTC, Congress, or federal courts establishing a nationwide ban.
Marchés ouverts
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- Yes-1.0pt15.8%
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- Volume total
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- Before Jul 1, 2027-6.0pt41%
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POLYMARKETWhat will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
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+5 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Mar 1, 202795%
- Before Feb 1, 202793%
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+9 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 6,5 k €
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Prediction Markets be banned in the US before 31 December, 2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 96% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Prediction Markets be banned in the US before 31 December, 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Prediction Markets be banned in the US before 31 December, 2026? doit être résolu le 30 décembre 2026.
- Comment Will Prediction Markets be banned in the US before 31 December, 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution Criteria