Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?
0.5 pts (24h)RégulationOne-OffCommoditiesPolitiqueUS PoliticsÉlection3mois
PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 91%-0.5pt
Qualité du marché
56 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
6,1 €
Liquidité
7,6 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
7.0% / 11.0%
Écart
4.0 pt
Spread modéréCommentaires
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 minutes
27 mars 26, 18:04 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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Manifold MarketsWhich state laws will be enacted in 2026?
KalshiRègles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning CFTC-regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Any bill that prohibits federally regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts, or otherwise places such activities under state-level gambling regulation rather than federal regulatory oversight, will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
- Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override.
- Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.