Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 94.6%
Prévisionnistes
11
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 heures
Obsolète29 sept. 25, 20:59 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Prediction Markets be banned in the US before 31 December, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill DeepSeek be banned in US before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill a bill curbing pharmaceutical monopolies become law?
KalshiWill greyhound racing be banned in the US by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell?
KalshiHow much will ACA Marketplace enrollment decline in 2027?
KalshiRègles
Will direct-to-consumer (DTC) pharmaceutical advertisements (pharma ads) on television (TV) be banned in the United States by the end of 2026?
- Resolves YES if any of the following are true at 11:59pm on Dec 31, 2026:
- ads are banned by act of Congress
- ads are banned by executive order
- ads are banned by federal regulation
- any of the above bans has been made but is under a judicial stay at the specified time
Marchés ouverts
Regulation
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+1.2pt94%
- Yes-1.2pt6%
- Volume total
- 19,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 263 k €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-10.0pt69%
- December 15,-13.5pt65%
- November 30,-12.0pt49%
+7 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+1.0pt91%
- Before Mar 1, 2027+2.0pt88%
- Before Feb 1, 2027-3.0pt83%
+9 résultats de plus
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028+9.0pt34%
- Before Oct 1, 2027+6.0pt27%
- Before Apr 1, 202717%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 7 M €
KALSHIWhen will the U.S. enact an AI kill switch law?
- Before Jan 1, 202878%
- Before Jul 1, 202733%
- Before Jan 1, 20277%
- Volume total
- 13 k €
- Volume 24h
- 8,1 k €
POLYMARKETDiscord IPO Closing Market Cap
- No IPO by December 31, 2027-16.1pt62.6%
- 8–11B+6.7pt10.1%
- 11–14B-0.1pt8.1%
+5 résultats de plus
- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- Who will successfully take over Warner Brothers?
- How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
- Will crypto market structure legislation become law?
- How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- What will Anthropic's IPO valuation be?
- When will OpenAI officially announce an IPO?
- Will Wyoming create a Digital Asset Authority?
- Will marijuana be rescheduled?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Pharmaceutical TV ads banned in US by end of 2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 95% au 20 septembre 2026.
- Quand Pharmaceutical TV ads banned in US by end of 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Pharmaceutical TV ads banned in US by end of 2026? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Pharmaceutical TV ads banned in US by end of 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Will direct-to-consumer (DTC) pharmaceutical advertisements (pharma ads) on television (TV) be banned in the United States by the end of 2026?