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Will crypto market structure legislation become law?

Will crypto market structure legislation become law?

One-OffRégulation Crypto Commodities Exchange Stablecoin Politique5mo

GeminiDonnées vérifiées limitées

Probabilité implicite actuelle

Before 2027?

Before 2027? 39.5%

Qualite du marche

46 / 100

Faible qualité

Volume 24h

239,4 €

Liquidité

0 €

Faible liquidité

Achat / Vente

38.0% / 41.0%

Spread

3.0 pt

Spread modéré

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 18 minutes

25 févr. 26, 3:231 janv. 27, 5:00

Résultat24hProbabilité

Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier

Résultat choisi

Before 2027?40%

Mise (USDT)

Règles

This market resolves to Yes if crypto market structure legislation becomes law by the specified deadline.

For purposes of this Contract, 'crypto market structure legislation' means any bill that: (1) Establishes a regulatory framework for digital assets, cryptocurrencies, or virtual currencies (not solely stablecoins); AND (2) Delineates regulatory authority between federal agencies (SEC, CFTC, or other) for oversight of digital assets; AND (3) Creates definitions or classifications for when digital assets are considered securities, commodities, or other classifications.
Bills that do the following would NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion: solely regulate stablecoins and/or CBDCs; only ban or restrict specific crypto activities without a regulatory framework; only address crypto taxation; pass only one chamber; as well as appropriations bills; executive orders or agency rules; bills vetoed and not overridden; state legislation.
Resolution source: Library of Congress.
Resolves to Yes if qualifying crypto market structure legislation becomes law before this date; otherwise No.
Sources: congress.gov (primary); Reuters, Associated Press, Bloomberg News, The New York Times, Financial Times, The Wall Street Journal, The Washington Post, Politico, ABC, CBS, CNN, Fox News, MSNBC, NBC (secondary).

Marchés Associés

Will crypto market structure legislation become law?

Will crypto market structure legislation become law?

Before Sep 1, 2026: 5%

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Manifold Markets

FTX US Recovery %

MANIFOLD MARKETS

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December 31: 60%

Actifs dans ces sujets

BitcoinBTC$65,402.36+1.42%

EthereumETH$1,959.10+3.95%

SolanaSOL$76.44+1.88%

XRPXRP$1.11+0.81%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0729-0.55%

BNBBNB$574.58+0.53%

Actualités Associées

White House pushes Senate Democrats to take 'historic' crypto Clarity Act ethics dealCoindesk

Augustus Raises $180 Million to Build a Stablecoin-Ready 'Global Dollar Bank'Decrypt

Senate nears bipartisan CLARITY Act deal after ethics breakthroughCrypto News

Russia passes landmark crypto bill allowing regulated retail tradingThe Block

Augustus Raises $180M at $1B Valuation to Build a Global Dollar Bank as Stablecoin Issuers Watch CloselyBlockchain Reporter

White House agrees to ethics provisions in market structure billCointelegraph

Règles

This market resolves to Yes if crypto market structure legislation becomes law by the specified deadline.

For purposes of this Contract, 'crypto market structure legislation' means any bill that: (1) Establishes a regulatory framework for digital assets, cryptocurrencies, or virtual currencies (not solely stablecoins); AND (2) Delineates regulatory authority between federal agencies (SEC, CFTC, or other) for oversight of digital assets; AND (3) Creates definitions or classifications for when digital assets are considered securities, commodities, or other classifications.
Bills that do the following would NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion: solely regulate stablecoins and/or CBDCs; only ban or restrict specific crypto activities without a regulatory framework; only address crypto taxation; pass only one chamber; as well as appropriations bills; executive orders or agency rules; bills vetoed and not overridden; state legislation.
Resolution source: Library of Congress.
Resolves to Yes if qualifying crypto market structure legislation becomes law before this date; otherwise No.
Sources: congress.gov (primary); Reuters, Associated Press, Bloomberg News, The New York Times, Financial Times, The Wall Street Journal, The Washington Post, Politico, ABC, CBS, CNN, Fox News, MSNBC, NBC (secondary).