Will crypto market structure legislation become law?
One-OffRégulationCryptoCommoditiesExchangeStablecoinPolitique3mois
GeminiKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesGrossièrement calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Before 2027? 28.5%En tête parmi 11 options
Qualité du marché
57 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
5,9 k €
Liquidité
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Liquidité inconnueÉcart
1.0 pt
Spread serréTraders
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 minutes
25 févr. 26, 03:23 UTC1 janv. 27, 05:00 UTC
Tendances
0%
0%
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Marchés Associés
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Manifold MarketsRègles
This market resolves to Yes if crypto market structure legislation becomes law by the specified deadline.
- For purposes of this Contract, 'crypto market structure legislation' means any bill that: (1) Establishes a regulatory framework for digital assets, cryptocurrencies, or virtual currencies (not solely stablecoins); AND (2) Delineates regulatory authority between federal agencies (SEC, CFTC, or other) for oversight of digital assets; AND (3) Creates definitions or classifications for when digital assets are considered securities, commodities, or other classifications.
- Bills that do the following would NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion: solely regulate stablecoins and/or CBDCs; only ban or restrict specific crypto activities without a regulatory framework; only address crypto taxation; pass only one chamber; as well as appropriations bills; executive orders or agency rules; bills vetoed and not overridden; state legislation.
- Resolution source: Library of Congress.
- Resolves to Yes if qualifying crypto market structure legislation becomes law before this date; otherwise No. Sources: congress.gov (primary); Reuters, Associated Press, Bloomberg News, The New York Times, Financial Times, The Wall Street Journal, The Washington Post, Politico, ABC, CBS, CNN, Fox News, MSNBC, NBC (secondary).