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  1. Marchés de Prédiction
  2. Tech
  3. How many people will Neuralink have implanted in 2026?
How many people will Neuralink have implanted in 2026?

How many people will Neuralink have implanted in 2026?

TechScienceYearly6mo
KalshiKalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de frais
Probabilité implicite actuelle
At least 25
At least 25 91%
En tête parmi 6 options
Qualite du marche

40 / 100

Faible qualité
Volume 24h

0 €

Liquidité

34,6 €

Faible liquidité
Achat / Vente

89.0% / 92.0%

Spread

3.4%

Spread modéré
Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 4 minutes

13 mai 26, 22:001 janv. 27, 4:59

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Résultat choisi

At least 2591%

Règles

If at least 25 persons have received Neuralink brain-computer interface implants before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Only unique human individuals count toward the total, regardless of how many devices each person receives.
  • If one person receives multiple implants or device replacements, they count as one person.
  • Cumulative totals include all persons who have ever received a Neuralink implant, including those who may have had devices removed, experienced device failure, or are deceased.
  • Only successful implantations count; attempted implantations that are aborted during surgery (and thus not actually implanted) do not count.
  • The implantations need not occur after Issuance to count toward 25.

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Règles

If at least 25 persons have received Neuralink brain-computer interface implants before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Only unique human individuals count toward the total, regardless of how many devices each person receives.
  • If one person receives multiple implants or device replacements, they count as one person.
  • Cumulative totals include all persons who have ever received a Neuralink implant, including those who may have had devices removed, experienced device failure, or are deceased.
  • Only successful implantations count; attempted implantations that are aborted during surgery (and thus not actually implanted) do not count.
  • The implantations need not occur after Issuance to count toward 25.