How many people will Neuralink have implanted in 2026?

2.0 pts (24h)Tech ScienceYearly5mo

KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesGrossièrement calibré

Probabilité implicite actuelle

At least 25 90%

En tête parmi 6 options

Qualite du marche

43 / 100

Faible qualité

Volume 24h

163,8 €

Liquidité

4,2 k €

Liquidité moyenne

Achat / Vente

48.0% / 55.0%

Spread

7.0 pt

Spread large

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 27 minutes

13 mai 26, 22:001 janv. 27, 4:59

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier

Résultat choisi

At least 4053%

Mise (USDT)

Règles

If at least 25 persons have received Neuralink brain-computer interface implants before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Only unique human individuals count toward the total, regardless of how many devices each person receives.
If one person receives multiple implants or device replacements, they count as one person.
Cumulative totals include all persons who have ever received a Neuralink implant, including those who may have had devices removed, experienced device failure, or are deceased.
Only successful implantations count; attempted implantations that are aborted during surgery (and thus not actually implanted) do not count.
The implantations need not occur after Issuance to count toward 25.

Tendance du volume

$186

2 juil.19j de données28 juil.

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Règles

If at least 25 persons have received Neuralink brain-computer interface implants before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Only unique human individuals count toward the total, regardless of how many devices each person receives.
If one person receives multiple implants or device replacements, they count as one person.
Cumulative totals include all persons who have ever received a Neuralink implant, including those who may have had devices removed, experienced device failure, or are deceased.
Only successful implantations count; attempted implantations that are aborted during surgery (and thus not actually implanted) do not count.
The implantations need not occur after Issuance to count toward 25.

How many people will Neuralink have implanted in 2026?

2.0 pts (24h)Tech ScienceYearly5mo

KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesGrossièrement calibré

Probabilité implicite actuelle

At least 25 90%

En tête parmi 6 options

Qualite du marche

43 / 100

Faible qualité

Volume 24h

163,8 €

Liquidité

4,2 k €

Liquidité moyenne

Achat / Vente

48.0% / 55.0%

Spread

7.0 pt

Spread large

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 27 minutes

13 mai 26, 22:001 janv. 27, 4:59

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier

Résultat choisi

At least 4053%

Mise (USDT)

Règles

If at least 25 persons have received Neuralink brain-computer interface implants before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Only unique human individuals count toward the total, regardless of how many devices each person receives.
If one person receives multiple implants or device replacements, they count as one person.
Cumulative totals include all persons who have ever received a Neuralink implant, including those who may have had devices removed, experienced device failure, or are deceased.
Only successful implantations count; attempted implantations that are aborted during surgery (and thus not actually implanted) do not count.
The implantations need not occur after Issuance to count toward 25.

Tendance du volume

$186

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Oui: 31%

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Oui: 6%

KALSHI

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1,1 k €

United States: 18%

KALSHI

Actifs dans ces sujets

BitcoinBTC$63,459.06-2.96%

EthereumETH$1,882.69-3.95%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0699-4.03%

BNBBNB$565.72-1.58%

SolanaSOL$73.28-4.09%

XRPXRP$1.06-4.56%

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Règles

If at least 25 persons have received Neuralink brain-computer interface implants before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Only unique human individuals count toward the total, regardless of how many devices each person receives.
If one person receives multiple implants or device replacements, they count as one person.
Cumulative totals include all persons who have ever received a Neuralink implant, including those who may have had devices removed, experienced device failure, or are deceased.
Only successful implantations count; attempted implantations that are aborted during surgery (and thus not actually implanted) do not count.
The implantations need not occur after Issuance to count toward 25.