PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Paul Mescal 32%+0.9ptEn tête parmi 49 options
Qualite du marche
47 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
707,3 €
Liquidité
9,4 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
15.7% / 23.4%
Spread
7.7 pt
Spread largeVariation 7j
-9.7 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 minutes
18 mai 26, 23:0331 déc. 26, 0:00
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Paul Mescal32%
Comparer les plateformes· Paul Mescal
Classé par qualité du marché, puis liquidité et volume sur 24 h| Plateforme | Qualité | Probabilité | vs référence | Vol 24h | Liq | Fraîcheur | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiMeilleur global82% de correspondance · lié | Moyenne | 42% | — | 1,6 k € | 654,5 k € | il y a 23 minutes | Ouvrir → |
| PolymarketLa plus active82% de correspondance · lié | Faible | 0% | — | 11,2 k € | 0 € | il y a 25 jours | Ouvrir → |
| PolymarketCette page | Faible | 32% | — | 707,3 € | 9,4 k € | il y a 3 minutes | |
 Manifold Markets82% de correspondance · vérifié | — | 38% | — | — | — | il y a 27 jours | Ouvrir → |
Également disponible sur Polymarket
Next James Bond actor?
0.2 ptsFermés
Résolu
No Bond chosen (100%)
+0.2pt100%
-0.1pt0%
0%
+28 résultats de plus
49 • Faible qualitéSpread serréFaible liquidité
Volume total3,4 M €
Volume 24h11,2 k €
POLYMARKETÉgalement disponible sur Kalshi
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
3a
+2.0pt42%
21%
16%
+21 résultats de plus
74 • Qualité moyenneSpread serréLiquidité élevéeAmbiguïté élevée
Volume total1,2 M €
Volume 24h1,6 k €
KALSHIÉgalement disponible sur Manifold Markets
Next James Bond? (Including actually likely answers)
2a
38.3%
27.4%
5.3%
+19 résultats de plus
Prévision communautaire29 prévisionnistesType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSRègles
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
- If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios.
- However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
Grosses transactions
$1.9k88.0%KALSHITom Holland — No-6 j
KALSHITom Holland — No-6 j$1.3k49.0%KALSHICallum Turner — Yes-10 j
KALSHICallum Turner — Yes-10 j$4.3k96.0%KALSHIScott Rose-Marsh — No-11 j
KALSHIScott Rose-Marsh — No-11 j$4.4k96.0%KALSHIRichard Madden — No-11 j
KALSHIRichard Madden — No-11 j$2.9k96.0%KALSHICharlie Hunnam — No-11 j
KALSHICharlie Hunnam — No-11 jTendance du volume
$8072 juil.26j de données27 juil.
Marchés Associés
Will the public officially be able to access Fable 5 again by the end of.July?
10,7 k €Oui: 98.4%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Will MrBeast hit ___ Million subscribers by July 31?
3,3 k €508m: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETFable 5 reenabled for Americans by August 15?
2,4 k €Oui: 97.5%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
When will Tsukihime -A piece of blue glass moon- be released for Windows?
1 k €2024: 1.5%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
287,6 €Oui: 2%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Which artists will release new albums in 2026?
8,5 €Future: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETActifs dans ces sujets
Actualités Associées
NVIDIA Vera CPU Powers Faster Chip Design for Next-Gen GPUsBlockchain.NewsNVIDIA, Applied Materials Accelerate Semiconductor InnovationBlockchain.NewsNVIDIA (NVDA) Expands Toolkit With PhysicsNeMo and CUDA-XBlockchain.News
NAVER, NVIDIA, Brookfield to Triple Korea AI Factory to 200 MW by 2028Blockchain.News
SK Group Partners with NVIDIA to Advance AI Infrastructure via $500B InvestmentBlockchain Reporter
Claude Opus 5 Outscores Fable 5 on Most Benchmarks—At Half the PriceDecryptRègles
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
- If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios.
- However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.