KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesGrossièrement calibréProbabilité implicite actuelleCallum Turner 41%En tête parmi 24 options
Qualite du marche
74 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
1,7 k €
Liquidité
655,6 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
7.0% / 8.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 14 minutes
24 juin 25, 1:051 janv. 30, 15:00
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Aaron Pierre7%
Comparer les plateformes· Callum Turner
Classé par qualité du marché, puis liquidité et volume sur 24 h| Plateforme | Qualité | Probabilité | vs référence | Vol 24h | Liq | Fraîcheur | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiCette pageMeilleur global | Moyenne | 41% | — | 1,7 k € | 655,6 k € | il y a 14 minutes | |
 PolymarketLa plus active87% de correspondance · vérifié | Faible | 0% | — | 11,2 k € | 0 € | il y a 25 jours | Ouvrir → |
| Polymarket82% de correspondance · lié | Faible | 31% | — | 708,4 € | 8,5 k € | il y a 14 minutes | Ouvrir → |
 Manifold Markets82% de correspondance · lié | — | 38% | — | — | — | il y a 27 jours | Ouvrir → |
Également disponible sur Polymarket
Next James Bond actor?
0.2 ptsFermés
Résolu
No Bond chosen (100%)
+0.2pt100%
-0.1pt0%
0%
+28 résultats de plus
49 • Faible qualitéSpread serréFaible liquidité
Volume total3,4 M €
Volume 24h11,2 k €
POLYMARKETÉgalement disponible sur Manifold Markets
Next James Bond? (Including actually likely answers)
2a
38.3%
27.4%
5.3%
+19 résultats de plus
Prévision communautaire29 prévisionnistesType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSÉgalement disponible sur Polymarket
Next James Bond actor?
4.8 pts5mo
+3.7pt33%
31%
+1.2pt31%
+46 résultats de plus
48 • Faible qualitéSpread largeLiquidité moyenneAmbiguïté élevée
Volume total15,9 k €
Volume 24h708,4 €
POLYMARKETRègles
If Aaron Pierre is cast as the next James Bond before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This is for the next film in the James Bond series, which goes back to Dr.
- No (1962); spin-offs and unauthorized productions are not included.
- If Aaron Taylor-Johnson is cast as the next James Bond before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Tom Hardy is cast as the next James Bond before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Henry Cavill is cast as the next James Bond before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
Grosses transactions
$1.9k88.0%KALSHITom Holland — No-6 j
KALSHITom Holland — No-6 j$1.3k49.0%KALSHICallum Turner — Yes-10 j
KALSHICallum Turner — Yes-10 j$4.3k96.0%KALSHIScott Rose-Marsh — No-12 j
KALSHIScott Rose-Marsh — No-12 j$4.4k96.0%KALSHIRichard Madden — No-12 j
KALSHIRichard Madden — No-12 j$2.9k96.0%KALSHICharlie Hunnam — No-12 j
KALSHICharlie Hunnam — No-12 jTendance du volume
$1.9k2 juil.26j de données27 juil.
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POLYMARKETActifs dans ces sujets
Règles
If Aaron Pierre is cast as the next James Bond before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This is for the next film in the James Bond series, which goes back to Dr.
- No (1962); spin-offs and unauthorized productions are not included.
- If Aaron Taylor-Johnson is cast as the next James Bond before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Tom Hardy is cast as the next James Bond before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Henry Cavill is cast as the next James Bond before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.