KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Ralph Fiennes 38%En tête parmi 5 options
Qualité du marché
23 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
278,8 €
Faible liquiditéDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 minutes
8 janv. 26, 23:00 UTC1 janv. 31, 15:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as the villain
KalshiNext James Bond film: Actor cast as Q
KalshiNext James Bond film: Actress cast as Moneypenny
KalshiNext James Bond is Callum Turner or Aaron Taylor-Johnson?
Manifold MarketsNext James Bond is Callum Turner or Aaron Taylor-Johnson?
Manifold MarketsWho will direct the next James Bond Film?
Manifold MarketsRègles
If the named outcome performs/ is announced as M in the next James Bond film, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:007.com
- For the purposes of this Contract, the named outcome satisfies the Payout Criterion if either:
- Official Announcement: the named outcome is officially announced, confirmed, or publicly credited as cast to perform M in the next James Bond film, regardless of whether the performance ultimately occurs; OR
- Actual Performance: the named outcome appears on stage, on screen, or in recorded content as M in any official performance, showing, or release of the next James Bond film.
- Additional clarification(s):
- If the next James Bond film is entirely cancelled or abandoned before any official performance or release occurs, but the named outcome was officially announced in M, the Contract will resolve to “Yes.”
Marchés ouverts
EntertainmentKALSHIOscar Winner: Best Picture
- The Odyssey51%
- Dune: Part Three13%
- The Black Ball11%
+36 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 4,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 89,6 k €
KALSHITop US Netflix Show this week?
- Crew Girl: Season 142.6%
- Death of the Pastor's Wife: Season 1+12.0pt31.1%
- NFL Melbourne Game: 49ers vs Rams12.3%
+9 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 57,1 k €
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Yash Patel+1.0pt24.8%
- Dee Valladares+4.0pt16.5%
- Barrett Pfeiffer13.8%
+14 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 4,1 M €
KALSHIRunner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-1.0pt98%
- Above 50-1.0pt96%
- Above 55-5.0pt83%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 306,3 k €
POLYMARKET# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
- 80-90M+35.0pt78%
- 70-80M-35.3pt21%
- 90M+-1.3pt1%
+4 résultats de plus
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+4.0pt49%
- Callum Turner+1.0pt25%
- Jack Barton-8.0pt12%
+27 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,9 M €
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Next James Bond film: Actor cast as M ?
- Kalshi cote Ralph Fiennes à 38% au 10 septembre 2026.
- Quand Next James Bond film: Actor cast as M sera-t-il résolu ?
- Next James Bond film: Actor cast as M doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2031.
- Comment Next James Bond film: Actor cast as M est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the named outcome performs/ is announced as M in the next James Bond film, then the market resolves to Yes.