KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Margaret Qualley 37%+8.0ptEn tête parmi 16 options
Qualité du marché
46 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
29,7 €
Liquidité
7,3 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
5.0 pt
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 minutes
14 févr. 26, 15:00 UTC1 janv. 31, 15:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as the villain
KalshiNext James Bond film: Actor cast as Q
KalshiNext James Bond film: Actress cast as Moneypenny
KalshiNext James Bond is Callum Turner or Aaron Taylor-Johnson?
Manifold MarketsNext James Bond is Callum Turner or Aaron Taylor-Johnson?
Manifold MarketsWho will be the next Bond girl?
Manifold MarketsRègles
If the named outcome performs/ is announced as a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” in the next James Bond film, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:007.com
- For the purposes of this Contract, the named outcome satisfies the Payout Criterion if either:
- Official Announcement: the named outcome is officially announced, confirmed, or publicly credited as cast to perform a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” in the next James Bond film, regardless of whether the performance ultimately occurs; OR
- Actual Performance: the named outcome appears on stage, on screen, or in recorded content as a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” in any official performance, showing, or release of the next James Bond film.
- Additional clarification(s):
- If the next James Bond film is entirely cancelled or abandoned before any official performance or release occurs, but the named outcome was officially announced in a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl”, the Contract will resolve to “Yes.”
Marchés ouverts
Entertainment
POLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+42.0pt76%
- 940 - 950m-42.0pt19.2%
- 960 - 970m+0.2pt1.9%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 296,8 k €
- Volume 24h
- 88,6 k €
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+32.0pt61%
- Jack Barton-2.0pt19%
- Callum Turner-11.0pt16%
+27 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,8 M €
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+13.1pt32%
- No Bond chosen-7.6pt16%
- Jack Barton+0.9pt14%
+21 résultats de plus
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Yash Patel+4.0pt28.4%
- Barrett Pfeiffer+2.0pt18.4%
- Drew Campbell-1.0pt12.8%
+14 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKET# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
- 70-80M+8.7pt63.6%
- 80-90M-2.0pt34.3%
- 60-70M-4.0pt1%
+4 résultats de plus
KALSHIOscar Winner: Best Picture
- The Odyssey52%
- Dune: Part Three13%
- The Black Ball11%
+35 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 4,2 M €
- Volume 24h
- 28,1 k €
- Primetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- # of views of MrBeast video on day 3?
- Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date
- Oscar nominees: Best Picture
- Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Lead Actor in a Drama Series
- Post Malone: Highest daily view count (August 31, 2026 - September 6, 2026)
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Comedy Series
- Morgan Wallen: Highest daily view count (August 31, 2026 - September 6, 2026)
- Which streaming service will win the most Emmys?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Next James Bond film: Actress cast as Bond girl ?
- Kalshi cote Margaret Qualley à 37% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Next James Bond film: Actress cast as Bond girl sera-t-il résolu ?
- Next James Bond film: Actress cast as Bond girl doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2031.
- Comment Next James Bond film: Actress cast as Bond girl est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the named outcome performs/ is announced as a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” in the next James Bond film, then the market resolves to Yes.