Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleJack Lowden 23.4%+4.6ptEn tête parmi 29 options
Prévisionnistes
85
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+15.9 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 heures
Obsolète20 oct. 23, 06:28 UTC31 déc. 26, 20:59 UTC
Tendances
0.4%
0.3%
0.2%
0.2%
0.2%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Next James Bond actor?
PolymarketNext James Bond (after "No Time To Die")
FutuurWho will be officially announced as the next James Bond by December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWho will be named the next 007 in the James Bond franchise?
Manifold MarketsWill Aaron Taylor-Johnson be the next James Bond?
Manifold MarketsJames Bond (after "No Time To Die") to be played by a woman?
FutuurRègles
I added some plausible candidates; feel free to add new names!
- Market will resolve when the actor or actress for the role of 007 in the next EON/Amazon James Bond movie has definitely been cast (say when production is underway; or it otherwise seems unambigiously final who will have the role).
Marchés ouverts
Tech
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,750 or above99%
- $76,500 or above99%
- $76,250 or above99%
+77 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 1,3 M €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
- $78,400 or above99%
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
+97 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,1 M €
- Volume 24h
- 802,6 k €
KALSHIBTC 15 min · $78,547.84 target
- Yes60%
- No40%
- Volume total
- 736,5 k €
- Volume 24h
- 585,6 k €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+10.0pt31.4%
- 200-219+8.0pt22.9%
- 160-179-4.0pt19.1%
+23 résultats de plus
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 88° to 89°+9.0pt37%
- 90° or above+11.0pt28%
- 86° to 87°-12.0pt25%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- Where will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- Elon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- Nasdaq-100 price on Sep 8, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Highest temperature in Miami on Sep 8, 2026?
- Which company has the best AI model end of September?
- Best AI at the end of 2026?
- ETH price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- ETH price on Sep 8, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
- When will Apple Inc. release the iPhone 18 Pro?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Who will be the next James Bond / 007? (775Ṁ subsidy) ?
- Manifold Markets cote Jack Lowden à 23% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Who will be the next James Bond / 007? (775Ṁ subsidy) sera-t-il résolu ?
- Who will be the next James Bond / 007? (775Ṁ subsidy) doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Who will be the next James Bond / 007? (775Ṁ subsidy) est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : I added some plausible candidates; feel free to add new names!