Prévision communautaire actuelle
Oui 60%
Prévisionnistes
698
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 minutes
27 avr. 23, 19:21 UTC2 janv. 30, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will a robot be created that can fully substitute for a plumber before January 1st, 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill any real-world household robot benchmark appear by EOY 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill AIs be widely recognized as having developed a new, innovative, foundational mathematical theory before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the first useful quantum computer be developed?
KalshiWill a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does?
KalshiWhich country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
KalshiRègles
The development of general-purpose robots capable of performing household chores has been a long-standing goal in the field of robotics.
- Such a robot would need to be versatile, adaptable, and capable of handling a wide range of tasks and environments commonly found in American homes.
- Achieving this level of capability remains a significant challenge.
- Will a general household robot capable of performing household chores to a high level of reliability be developed before January 1st, 2030?
- Resolution Criteria:
- This question will resolve to "YES" if, before January 1st, 2030, a general household robot is developed anywhere in the world and has been publicly and credibly documented to have:
Marchés ouverts
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 8pm EDT?
- $78,400 or above99%
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
+97 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 944,1 k €
- Volume 24h
- 721,8 k €
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 90° or above+68.0pt95.2%
- 88° to 89°-22.0pt1%
- 84° to 85°-8.0pt1%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIBTC 15 min · $78,442.97 target
- No73%
- Yes27%
- Volume total
- 620 k €
- Volume 24h
- 536 k €
KALSHIGuyana Amazon Warriors vs Antigua And Barbuda Falcons
- Guyana Amazon Warriors+4.0pt66.3%
- Antigua And Barbuda Falcons-3.0pt33.7%
- Volume total
- 514,9 k €
- Volume 24h
- 496,9 k €
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- New Orleans+48.0pt99%
- Houston+70.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+17.0pt99%
+19 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- 80° to 81°+53.0pt95.2%
- 79° or below-3.0pt1%
- 82° to 83°-44.0pt1%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Un robot domestique fiable et polyvalent sera-t-il développé avant le 1er janvier 2030 ? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 60% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Un robot domestique fiable et polyvalent sera-t-il développé avant le 1er janvier 2030 ? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Un robot domestique fiable et polyvalent sera-t-il développé avant le 1er janvier 2030 ? doit être résolu le 2 janvier 2030.
- Comment Un robot domestique fiable et polyvalent sera-t-il développé avant le 1er janvier 2030 ? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : The development of general-purpose robots capable of performing household chores has been a long-standing goal in the field of robotics.