Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 92.9%
Pronosticadores
40
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 9 horas
Desactualizado17 feb 25, 15:43 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will USA leave NATO by the end of 2027?
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FutuurWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
PolymarketReglas
resolves YES if the USA formally files whatever legal and diplomatic paperwork necessary to formally leave the defensive union. this will not resolve NO for an announcement of intention.
Mercados abiertos
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt75.5%
- New People (NL)-4.0pt21.4%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.5pt2%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 22,1 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 423,4 mil €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
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- October 31-1.0pt28.5%
- September 30-1.0pt13%
+17 resultados más
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+3.0pt80%
- September 18+2.0pt75%
- September 11+12.0pt71%
+2 resultados más
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No96%
- Yes4%
- Volumen total
- 35,3 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 95,4 mil €
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 resultados más
POLYMARKETNobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Yulia Navalnaya8%
- UNRWA-0.1pt7%
- International Court of Justice+1.1pt6%
+17 resultados más
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
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- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
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- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will USA leave NATO by the end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 93% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will USA leave NATO by the end of 2026??
- Está previsto que Will USA leave NATO by the end of 2026? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will USA leave NATO by the end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: resolves YES if the USA formally files whatever legal and diplomatic paperwork necessary to formally leave the defensive union. this will not resolve NO for an announcement of intention.