Will the world population be 7 billion or less at any point before 2035?
GeopolíticaOne-OffSociedad y cultura8aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 87.4%
Pronosticadores
5
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 22 horas
Desactualizado11 sept 26, 8:13 UTC31 dic 34, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
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Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if the estimated global human population is officially reported to be 7,000,000,000 (7 billion) or less at any point between the market's creation and December 31, 2034, at 11:59 PM UTC.
- The primary sources of truth for this market are:
- The United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs (UN DESA) Population Division, specifically via the World Population Prospects database or its official revision reports.
- The U.S. Census Bureau, specifically via the U.S. and World Population Clock or the International Database (IDB).
- Any serious sources or any world event that makes this possible.
