Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 97.4%
Pronosticadores
13
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 16 horas
Desactualizado18 ago 26, 9:59 UTC31 dic 27, 23:59 UTC
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MyriadReglas
The United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs (UN DESA) routinely tracks and projects global demographic shifts.
- As debates around global population growth, resource sustainability, and shifting fertility rates intensify across social platforms, this market tracks a major near-term milestone: the world population officially crossing 8.3 billion.
- ### Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if, at any point prior to January 1, 2028, at 00:00 UTC, the United Nations Population Division (or its official real-time data instruments backed by UN DESA) reports or estimates that the global human population has reached or exceeded 8,300,000,000.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to NO on January 1, 2028, provided no such official figure has been published by the UN prior to that date.
- ### Fine Print & Edge Cases
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will world population reach 8.3 billion before 2028 according to the UN??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 97% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will world population reach 8.3 billion before 2028 according to the UN??
- Está previsto que Will world population reach 8.3 billion before 2028 according to the UN? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will world population reach 8.3 billion before 2028 according to the UN??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: The United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs (UN DESA) routinely tracks and projects global demographic shifts.