PolymarketCerradoComprobar disponibilidadSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoEste mercado está cerrado y esperando una resolución confirmada.
Esperando resolución verificada
CoinRithm espera una liquidación confirmada por el proveedor antes de tratar este mercado como resuelto.
Aviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 30 oct 2026, 9:45 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Probabilidad implícita actual
No 71%-2.0pt
No 71%-2.0ptCalidad del mercado
≤49 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
789,7 €
Liquidez
14,4 mil €
Liquidez mediaInterés abierto
3,5 mil US$
Compra / Venta
28.0% / 30.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Spread estrechoComentarios
0
Datos de mercado
Actualizado anteayer
Desactualizado28 oct 26, 2:36 UTC31 dic 26, 22:59 UTC
Tendencias
No71%
Sí29%
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PolymarketReglas
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Gävle Goat, a traditional Christmas display erected annually in Gävle, Sweden, is set on fire by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM CET.
- Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
- Any fire on the Gävle Goat’s main structure will qualify, regardless of the extent of the damage or whether the goat remains standing; attempts that do not ignite the goat will not qualify.
- If the Gävle Goat is destroyed by other means, this will not qualify.
- The fire must be confirmed by an official Gävle Goat social media account, the City of Gävle’s official website, or a consensus of credible reporting.