PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPunto medio del libro seleccionado
51.0+ · —
Cargando el libro seleccionado…
—
Referencia guardada
51.0+ 91%Líder entre 5 opciones
51.0+ 91%Calidad del mercado
≤49 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
188,1 €
Liquidez
1,6 mil €
Baja liquidezInterés abierto
3,3 mil US$
Compra / Venta
— / —
51.0+Spread
—
Comentarios
0
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 17 minutos
28 oct 26, 18:44 UTC1 may 27, 3:59 UTC
El gráfico y los cambios muestran probabilidades históricas guardadas, no el libro seleccionado en directo.
Tendencias
Fila seleccionada: punto medio del libro. Otras filas: referencias guardadas, posiblemente normalizadas; los cambios de 24h usan el historial guardado.
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Polymarket
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Orden mínima (participaciones):
- 5
- Incremento de precio:
- 1 puntos porcentuales
- Comisiones:
- No
Principales tenedores
Cargando principales tenedores
Profundidad de mercado · 51.0+
Cargando el libro seleccionado…
—
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
US birth rate increases by over 10% during Trump's presidency.
Manifold MarketsWill US birth rates rise above 2.0 at any point before 2030?
Manifold MarketsThe next census in 2030 will show an increase in United States birth rate.
Manifold MarketsWhen will Canada's birth rate exceed India's birth rate?
Manifold MarketsWill Joe Biden die this year?
Manifold MarketsFake meat will have 10% or more of the meat market share in the US by 2035
Manifold MarketsReglas
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the general fertility rate (births per 1,000 women aged 15–44) in the United States in 2026 is equal to or greater than the listed value, as reported in the National Center for Health Statistics (NCHS) annual provisional births report for 2026, meaning the first NCHS report that presents provisional birth data for the full calendar year 2026, regardless of its exact title or format (see 2025 example, “Births: Provisional Data for 2025”: https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/vsrr/vsrr043.pdf), estimated to be released in April 2027.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Provisional counts or estimates covering only part of 2026, and full-year figures published only in data dashboards, data files, or statistical tables rather than in such a report, will not be considered.
- The report is expected to be made available here: https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/births.htm
- If NCHS does not release its annual provisional births report for 2026 by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
- Note: The relevant data will be the general fertility rate in the United States in 2026 as stated in the annual provisional births report for 2026.
