Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 92.2%
Pronosticadores
17
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 2 horas
Desactualizado31 mar 26, 14:50 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
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PolymarketReglas
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if Joe Biden dies at any point during 2026 (January 1 - December 31, 2026).
- Resolution will be determined by major news sources reporting his death.
- This market resolves NO if Biden survives through December 31, 2026.
- As of January 4, 2026, Joe Biden is 83 years old, having been born on November 20, 1942.
- Biden left the Oval Office on January 20, 2025.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Joe Biden die this year??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 92% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Joe Biden die this year??
- Está previsto que Will Joe Biden die this year? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Joe Biden die this year??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution criteria