Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 93.9%
Pronosticadores
20
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 6 horas
Desactualizado31 mar 26, 14:50 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Joe Biden die before the 2028 presidential election (Nov. 7 2028)?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Joe Biden die?
Manifold MarketsWill Joe Biden die before Donald Trump?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump or Joe Biden die before Jan 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill it be reported that Joe Biden used Ambien before the 2024 presidential debate?
KalshiMedicaid requires employment (work requirement) in 2026?
Manifold MarketsReglas
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if Joe Biden dies at any point during 2026 (January 1 - December 31, 2026).
- Resolution will be determined by major news sources reporting his death.
- This market resolves NO if Biden survives through December 31, 2026.
- As of January 4, 2026, Joe Biden is 83 years old, having been born on November 20, 1942.
- Biden left the Oval Office on January 20, 2025.
