Confirmed pneumonic plague case in Russia by which date?
1.5 pts (24h)Rusia / UcraniaOne-OffSalud y medicina26d
PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
31, 20%+1.5pt
31, 20%+1.5ptCalidad del mercado
66 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
11,5 mil €
Liquidez
4,2 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
12.0% / 13.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread estrechoComentarios
1
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 16 minutos
3 oct 26, 16:48 UTC1 nov 26, 3:59 UTC
Tendencias
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Polymarket
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Orden mínima (participaciones):
- 5
- Incremento de precio:
- 1 puntos porcentuales
- Comisiones:
- Sí
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Manifold MarketsReglas
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a confirmed case of pneumonic plague in a human is reported in the Russian Federation at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Moscow time, .
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A "confirmed case" is a case explicitly identified by a qualifying source as laboratory-confirmed Yersinia pestis infection with pneumonic (pulmonary) involvement, or explicitly announced as a confirmed pneumonic plague case.
- Publication of the underlying laboratory results is not required.
- A bubonic or septicemic case that progresses to pneumonic plague qualifies.
- A case reported only as "plague" with no form specified, and a case described only as suspected or probable, do not qualify.